Do I ship it?

GamesHero ShooterHero Shooter + Magic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Magic Hero Shooter?

Hero Shooter + Magic

Only 15 developers shipped a Magic Hero Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Orcs Must Die! Deathtrap, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 36 more are announced, ×6.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 9 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $720, ×0.5 the market's $1.3k for a 9 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50. 36 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.0 per shipper, while revenue is up 60% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 60% on the market, 36 announced, ×6.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Hero Shooter + Magic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 15
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.7k → $599 → $4.7k → $239 → $12k → $716 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Hero Shooter + Magic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 15
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $716 (exactly $716)
Top 25% $3.6k (exactly $3,565)
Top 5% $3.6M (exactly $3,646,484)
Developers, 2 yr 15
Released games 61
Announced 36
Effort 9 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 60% on the market, supply 35% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 23%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Hero Shooter
effort 9 / 10 · low · competitive netcode plus hero balance and content cadence
Magic
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
9 / 10 · studio only
Systems
Hero Shooter
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 72% positive over 5,366 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $720, 1 in 4 over $3.5k, 1 in 20 over $3.6M.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 8 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 36 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Hero Shooter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SimulationLong shot31 devs · median $478 · 28 announced
  2. + Bullet HellLong shot59 devs · median $449 · 56 announced
  3. + Boomer ShooterLong shot30 devs · median $210 · 21 announced
  4. + MedievalLong shot10 devs · median $150 · 12 announced
  5. + Online Co-OpPoor odds20 devs · median $7.2k · 51 announced
  6. + SuperheroPoor odds6 devs · median $6.3k · 11 announced
  7. + Battle RoyalePoor odds9 devs · median $3.6k · 29 announced
  8. + Co-opPoor odds22 devs · median $3.6k · 53 announced
  9. + PvPPoor odds27 devs · median $2.3k · 127 announced
  10. + PlatformerPoor odds21 devs · median $2.2k · 33 announced
  11. + Character CustomizationPoor odds25 devs · median $2.1k · 68 announced
  12. + PhysicsPoor odds27 devs · median $1.6k · 34 announced

All 87 pairs on the Hero Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Orcs Must Die! Deathtrap $29.99 4,053 69% 122k $3.6M (exactly $3,646,484) Robot Entertainment
Project Warlock II $16.99 1,233 80% 37k $628k (exactly $628,460) Buckshot Software
Avium older $29.99 26 76% 780 $23k (exactly $23,392) The Robot
The Lord of the Parties older $15.99 38 68% 1.1k $18k (exactly $18,229) Magic Cube, Dizcon
Krosfighter older $9.99 57 64% 1.7k $17k (exactly $17,083) Doryah Games
WarOfGods 2 $29.99 13 76% 390 $12k (exactly $11,696) Mensa World
HellEscape older $3.99 39 74% 1.2k $4.7k (exactly $4,668) RogoNess
Cemetery Warrior V older $3.99 32 71% 960 $3.8k (exactly $3,830) Falco Software
HEARTDUST · EA $6.99 17 94% 510 $3.6k (exactly $3,565) Heartbyte Studios
Valkyrie Champions older $3.99 26 69% 780 $3.1k (exactly $3,112) Valorware
Super Weapon Master 超级武器大师 $3.99 21 57% 630 $2.5k (exactly $2,514) Idea Cat
SorcerialBladeCannon $12.99 6 66% 180 $2.3k (exactly $2,338) MACHINECODE
Save Me My Hero $2.99 9 77% 270 $807 (exactly $807) NextDay
Miracle Brave: Beast Defense Line $1.99 12 41% 360 $716 (exactly $716) 1029studio
SnaiL TraiL $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Legendary DEVasters
Band of Heroes · EA $1.99 1 100% 30 $60 (exactly $60) VoltNight Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.