Do I ship it?

GamesHero ShooterHero Shooter + Local Multiplayer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Local Multiplayer Hero Shooter?

Hero Shooter + Local Multiplayer

Only 8 developers shipped a Local Multiplayer Hero Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Dirtnap, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 7 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 9 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $0 in the last 2 years and $180 over 4, against a market of $1.3k for a 9 / 10 build. 6 developers shipped in the last year and 7 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.0 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 7 announced, ×1.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Hero Shooter + Local Multiplayer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 8

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Hero Shooter + Local Multiplayer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 8
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $0 (exactly $0)
Top 25% $299 (exactly $299)
Top 5% $4.6k (exactly $4,554)
Developers, 2 yr 8
Released games 27
Announced 7
Effort 9 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 200% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Hero Shooter
effort 9 / 10 · low · competitive netcode plus hero balance and content cadence
Local Multiplayer
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
9 / 10 · studio only
Systems
Hero Shooter, Local Multiplayer
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 119 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $0, 1 in 4 over $290, 1 in 20 over $4.5k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 7 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Hero Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SimulationLong shot31 devs · median $478 · 28 announced
  2. + Bullet HellLong shot59 devs · median $449 · 56 announced
  3. + Boomer ShooterLong shot30 devs · median $210 · 21 announced
  4. + MedievalLong shot10 devs · median $150 · 12 announced
  5. + Online Co-OpPoor odds20 devs · median $7.2k · 51 announced
  6. + SuperheroPoor odds6 devs · median $6.3k · 11 announced
  7. + Battle RoyalePoor odds9 devs · median $3.6k · 29 announced
  8. + Co-opPoor odds22 devs · median $3.6k · 53 announced
  9. + PvPPoor odds27 devs · median $2.3k · 127 announced
  10. + PlatformerPoor odds21 devs · median $2.2k · 33 announced
  11. + Character CustomizationPoor odds25 devs · median $2.1k · 68 announced
  12. + PhysicsPoor odds27 devs · median $1.6k · 34 announced

All 87 pairs on the Hero Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Bloodbound: Vampire Hunters · EA older $14.99 18 88% 540 $8.1k (exactly $8,095) Sketchy Realms
ATTACK OF THE EVIL POOP older $7.99 30 86% 900 $7.2k (exactly $7,191) AN Games
Jack Walker: Ethereal · EA older $39.99 5 80% 150 $6.0k (exactly $5,998) ROG STUDIOS
Dirtnap · EA $7.99 19 84% 570 $4.6k (exactly $4,554) Unstable Entity, Part Time Monkey, Nitr… (Unstable Entity, Part Time Monkey, Nitroyale)
Warriors Of Titus older $19.99 5 100% 150 $3.0k (exactly $2,998) Martin Kutlak
Knights & Guns older $3.99 16 93% 480 $1.9k (exactly $1,915) Baltoro Games
Apocalypse: Floodgates older $9.99 5 80% 150 $1.5k (exactly $1,498) RetroRave, LLC
Bombardier older $6.99 6 66% 180 $1.3k (exactly $1,258) Studio Squid Inc
Sector Sweep · EA older $2.99 13 84% 390 $1.2k (exactly $1,166) Moonlit S.A.
Twin Stick Heroes older $14.99 2 100% 60 $899 (exactly $899) Franklin Burnett, Ronald Burnett
2KXX $4.99 2 100% 60 $299 (exactly $299) STUDIO 185
Dude The Dark Agent $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) ismail ozel games
Flip Crystal League $3.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Judox Studio
Alive 2 $5.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Darkage Software
Guerilla Cubes $3.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) FrameOneBros Inc.
Gosh Jam It $7.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) HighNoon Studios
Brawlzerker $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) BluSheep

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.