Do I ship it?

GamesHero ShooterHero Shooter + Gun Customization

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Gun Customization Hero Shooter?

Hero Shooter + Gun Customization

Only 12 developers shipped a Gun Customization Hero Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Marathon, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 16 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 9 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×0.7 the market's $1.3k for a 9 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $61. 16 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper, while revenue is up 260% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 260% on the market, 16 announced, ×2.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Hero Shooter + Gun Customization
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $9.3k → $7.6k → $150 → $1.8k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Hero Shooter + Gun Customization: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $61 (exactly $61)
Median $899 (exactly $899)
Top 25% $201k (exactly $200,799)
Top 5% $54M (exactly $53,889,324)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 45
Announced 16
Effort 9 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 260% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Hero Shooter
effort 9 / 10 · low · competitive netcode plus hero balance and content cadence
Gun Customization
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
9 / 10 · studio only
Systems
Hero Shooter, Gun Customization
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 47,047 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $61, median $900, 1 in 4 over $200k, 1 in 20 over $53M.

3 in 10 developers made under $61. 5 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 16 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Hero Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SimulationLong shot31 devs · median $478 · 28 announced
  2. + Bullet HellLong shot59 devs · median $449 · 56 announced
  3. + Boomer ShooterLong shot30 devs · median $210 · 21 announced
  4. + MedievalLong shot10 devs · median $150 · 12 announced
  5. + Online Co-OpPoor odds20 devs · median $7.2k · 51 announced
  6. + SuperheroPoor odds6 devs · median $6.3k · 11 announced
  7. + Battle RoyalePoor odds9 devs · median $3.6k · 29 announced
  8. + Co-opPoor odds22 devs · median $3.6k · 53 announced
  9. + PvPPoor odds27 devs · median $2.3k · 127 announced
  10. + PlatformerPoor odds21 devs · median $2.2k · 33 announced
  11. + Character CustomizationPoor odds25 devs · median $2.1k · 68 announced
  12. + PhysicsPoor odds27 devs · median $1.6k · 34 announced

All 87 pairs on the Hero Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Marathon $39.99 44,919 81% 1.3M $54M (exactly $53,889,324) Bungie
Friends vs Friends older $9.99 10,860 83% 326k $3.3M (exactly $3,254,742) Brainwash Gang
Project Warlock II $16.99 1,233 80% 37k $628k (exactly $628,460) Buckshot Software
KILLER INN · EA $9.99 670 44% 20k $201k (exactly $200,799) Square Enix, Tactic Studios
Lust 'n Dead 🔞 $9.99 212 66% 6.4k $64k (exactly $63,536) Octo Games
Gachi: Space Orgasm older $1.99 156 75% 4.7k $9.3k (exactly $9,313) Octo Games
Elden Gunfire older $13.99 22 77% 660 $9.2k (exactly $9,233) Amonga99
The Sand Knight older $14.99 17 100% 510 $7.6k (exactly $7,645) LAN Line Games, Iso Sprites, BW Game De… (LAN Line Games, Iso Sprites, BW Game Developers)
Dice Knight: Mystery of the Moirai older $11.99 15 86% 450 $5.4k (exactly $5,396) Die of Death Games
Peaceful Gunner older $4.99 25 100% 750 $3.7k (exactly $3,742) KomBits Game Studio
Dead Z Meat $9.99 6 50% 180 $1.8k (exactly $1,798) ISTOM Games
Shadow Survival · EA $9.99 3 100% 90 $899 (exactly $899) Celestial Knight Studios
NO MORE HUMANS $4.99 1 0% 30 $150 (exactly $150) NO MORE HUMANS
Viking Breaker $4.99 1 0% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Gamific, Kode Game Studio
Ghost of Kyiv $2.04 1 100% 30 $61 (exactly $61) Jonald
MEKANION $1.99 1 100% 30 $60 (exactly $60) SYW Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.