Do I ship it?

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Specimen · observed

Should I ship a War God Game?

God Game + War

Only 12 developers shipped a War God Game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, EarthRoyale 3, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 22 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $540, ×0.9 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $9.8k, ×16 the market median. Revenue is down 90% on the market; 22 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 90% on the market, 22 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
God Game + War
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.7k → $3.1k → $539 (still earning) → $300 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for God Game + War: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $299 (exactly $299)
Median $537 (exactly $537)
Top 25% $4.9k (exactly $4,934)
Top 5% $9.9k (exactly $9,856)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 47
Announced 22
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 200% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

God Game
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
War
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
God Game
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 72% positive over 156 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $540, 1 in 4 over $4.9k, 1 in 20 over $9.8k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 22 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

God Game with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + HistoricalFair19 devs · median $12k · 28 announced
  2. + EconomyFair47 devs · median $2.8k · 58 announced
  3. + PuzzleFair27 devs · median $1.2k · 30 announced
  4. + Inventory ManagementFair16 devs · median $1.1k · 15 announced
  5. + DestructionFair19 devs · median $899 · 20 announced
  6. + DystopianFair14 devs · median $898 · 10 announced
  7. + IdlerFair91 devs · median $839 · 95 announced
  8. + IncrementalFair79 devs · median $807 · 71 announced
  9. + ArcadeLong shot17 devs · median $390 · 20 announced
  10. + Farming SimLong shot22 devs · median $359 · 24 announced
  11. + AgricultureLong shot9 devs · median $180 · 7 announced
  12. + Base BuildingPoor odds37 devs · median $28k · 77 announced

All 96 pairs on the God Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Fantasy Map Simulator 2024 · EA · $1.0M Ruinarch 2023 · $1.0M Driftland: The Magic Revival 2019 · $863k EarthRoyale 2024 · $41k BoomTown! Deluxe 2016 · $35k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Fantasy Map Simulator · EA older $7.99 4,190 89% 126k $1.0M (exactly $1,004,343) The Stranger
Ruinarch older $24.99 1,336 62% 40k $1.0M (exactly $1,001,599) Maccima Games LLC
Driftland: The Magic Revival older $19.99 1,439 73% 43k $863k (exactly $862,968) Star Drifters
EarthRoyale older $7.99 170 85% 5.1k $41k (exactly $40,749) Lizzycat / Lizabeth Gidlund
BoomTown! Deluxe older $5.99 196 84% 5.9k $35k (exactly $35,221) Ish Games
Skyward Collapse older $4.99 184 49% 5.5k $28k (exactly $27,545) Arcen Games
Automata Empire older $8.99 48 66% 1.4k $13k (exactly $12,946) Nonadecimal Creative
EarthRoyale 3 · EA $6.99 47 63% 1.4k $9.9k (exactly $9,856) Lizzycat / Lizabeth Gidlund
Command by Voice: World Conquest · EA $9.99 19 52% 570 $5.7k (exactly $5,694) Side Meicai
The Noble Quran $2.99 55 80% 1.7k $4.9k (exactly $4,934) Quran on Steam
Stellar Industrialist $2.99 18 88% 540 $1.6k (exactly $1,615) PcZ Games
CodeWar Kingdom $8.99 2 50% 60 $539 (exactly $539) NULL.
Super Kingcrab Simulator $1.99 9 88% 270 $537 (exactly $537) !CyberApex (SkagoGames)
GalactiWar - Empire Simulator $11.99 1 100% 30 $360 (exactly $360) Silver
VOXEL ISLE SIMULATOR $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) SFH PROD
GodWright $4.99 2 0% 60 $299 (exactly $299) JaceDev
Seeds & Sparks $2.99 2 100% 60 $179 (exactly $179) SMAR Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.