Do I ship it?

GamesGod GameGod Game + Historical

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Historical God Game?

God Game + Historical

Only 19 developers shipped a Historical God Game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, JIANGHU CHRONICLES, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 28 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $12k, ×18 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $5.0k. Revenue is up 310% on the market; 28 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 18.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 310% on the market, 28 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
God Game + Historical
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 19
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.2k → $4.7k → $34k → $3.1k → $19k → $63k (still earning) → $5.7k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for God Game + Historical: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 19
Bottom 30% $4.9k (exactly $4,934)
Median $12k (exactly $11,510)
Top 25% $268k (exactly $268,206)
Top 5% $1.1M (exactly $1,104,226)
Developers, 2 yr 19
Released games 56
Announced 28
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 310% on the market, supply 180% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

God Game
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Historical
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
God Game; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Base Building, Exploration
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 78% positive over 7,897 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $5.0k, median $12k, 1 in 4 over $260k, 1 in 20 over $1.1M.

3 in 10 developers made under $5.0k. 7 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 28 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

God Game with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + EconomyFair47 devs · median $2.8k · 58 announced
  2. + PuzzleFair27 devs · median $1.2k · 30 announced
  3. + Inventory ManagementFair16 devs · median $1.1k · 15 announced
  4. + DestructionFair19 devs · median $899 · 20 announced
  5. + DystopianFair14 devs · median $898 · 10 announced
  6. + IdlerFair91 devs · median $839 · 95 announced
  7. + IncrementalFair79 devs · median $807 · 71 announced
  8. + ArcadeLong shot17 devs · median $390 · 20 announced
  9. + Farming SimLong shot22 devs · median $359 · 24 announced
  10. + AgricultureLong shot9 devs · median $180 · 7 announced
  11. + Base BuildingPoor odds37 devs · median $28k · 77 announced
  12. + Tower DefensePoor odds16 devs · median $22k · 22 announced

All 96 pairs on the God Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Ages of Conflict: World War Simulator · EA older $6.99 8,904 96% 267k $1.9M (exactly $1,867,169) JoySpark Games
JIANGHU CHRONICLES $17.99 2,046 70% 61k $1.1M (exactly $1,104,226) 一品阁
I Am Jesus Christ $19.99 1,486 87% 45k $891k (exactly $891,154) Space Boat Studios
Microcivilization $17.99 1,437 78% 43k $776k (exactly $775,549) Ondrej Homola
Masters of Albion · EA $24.99 607 64% 18k $455k (exactly $455,068) 22cans
Doodle Empires · EA $6.99 1,279 92% 38k $268k (exactly $268,206) Turtle Stack Games
Tiny Civilization older $1.99 2,134 92% 64k $127k (exactly $127,400) 喜人一个
Pandora's Toybox $9.99 372 83% 11k $111k (exactly $111,488) BetaLab
Firelight Fantasy: Phoenix Crew older $13.99 173 78% 5.2k $73k (exactly $72,608) Quacky Games
吾皇万岁 $4.99 422 68% 13k $63k (exactly $63,173) AI GAME STUDIO
Nuclear Design Bureau · EA $9.99 88 79% 2.6k $26k (exactly $26,374) Design Bureau KB-11
Religion inc. $4.99 128 72% 3.8k $19k (exactly $19,162) GameFirst
Epoch of Guardians $11.99 32 81% 960 $12k (exactly $11,510) 伊洛维游戏

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.