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Should I ship an Incremental God Game?
God Game + Incremental
Of 79 developers who shipped an Incremental God Game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 71 more are announced.
Verdict: fair, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $810, ×1.3 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $360. Revenue is down 30% on the market; 71 games are announced against 55 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $356 (exactly $356) |
|---|---|
| Median | $807 (exactly $807) |
| Top 25% | $5.9k (exactly $5,872) |
| Top 5% | $107k (exactly $107,157) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 79 |
| Released games | 171 |
| Announced | 71 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $3.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 30% on the market, supply 120% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- God Game
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Incremental
- effort 1 / 10 · high · formulas and upgrade tables
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- God Game, Incremental; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Idler, Simulation, Management
- Price point
- $3.99 typical · top 25% priced $7.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Relaxing, Pixel Graphics
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $7.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.
The top 10 games average 85% positive over 6,388 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $360. 8 in 10 of the 29 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 71 games are announced against 55 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
God Game with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + HistoricalFair
- + EconomyFair
- + PuzzleFair
- + Inventory ManagementFair
- + DestructionFair
- + DystopianFair
- + IdlerFair
- + ArcadeLong shot
- + Farming SimLong shot
- + AgricultureLong shot
- + Base BuildingPoor odds
- + Tower DefensePoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Microcivilization | $17.99 | 1,437 78% | 43k | $776k (exactly $775,549) | Ondrej Homola | |
| | Execute | $5.99 | 679 91% | 20k | $122k (exactly $122,016) | Payne Robinson | |
| | Loafing Town | $6.99 | 531 85% | 16k | $111k (exactly $111,351) | GoblinZz | |
| | MMO98 | $6.99 | 511 69% | 15k | $107k (exactly $107,157) | BiteMe Games | |
| | The Eastern Sacrifice | $9.99 | 356 55% | 11k | $107k (exactly $106,693) | 五条虾仁(5 shrimps) | |
| | FEED THE AI | $5.99 | 557 90% | 17k | $100k (exactly $100,093) | Weird Kid Games | |
| | PolyPine | $8.99 | 368 95% | 11k | $99k (exactly $99,250) | Cloudberry Pine | |
| | 拖拖拉拉小菲镇 | $1.99 | 1,528 98% | 46k | $91k (exactly $91,222) | LuzhangGames | |
| | Reprisal Universe | older | $6.99 | 337 75% | 10k | $71k (exactly $70,669) | electrolyte |
| | Hole Dweller | older | $7.99 | 260 96% | 7.8k | $62k (exactly $62,322) | Thigh High Games |
| | Game of Grass | $6.99 | 275 84% | 8.3k | $58k (exactly $57,668) | Hipsterdufus | |
| | Ink Reverie | $9.99 | 146 74% | 4.4k | $44k (exactly $43,756) | Rolling Cat Studio |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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