Do I ship it?

GamesGod GameGod Game + Incremental

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Incremental God Game?

God Game + Incremental

Of 79 developers who shipped an Incremental God Game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 71 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $810, ×1.3 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $360. Revenue is down 30% on the market; 71 games are announced against 55 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 30% on the market, 71 announced, ×1.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
God Game + Incremental
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 79
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.7k → $297 → $449 → $1.8k → $390 → $6.1k → $839 (still earning) → $599 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for God Game + Incremental: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 79
Bottom 30% $356 (exactly $356)
Median $807 (exactly $807)
Top 25% $5.9k (exactly $5,872)
Top 5% $107k (exactly $107,157)
Developers, 2 yr 79
Released games 171
Announced 71
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 30% on the market, supply 120% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

God Game
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Incremental
effort 1 / 10 · high · formulas and upgrade tables

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
God Game, Incremental; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Idler, Simulation, Management
Price point
$3.99 typical · top 25% priced $7.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Relaxing, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $7.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 6,388 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $810, 1 in 4 over $5.8k, 1 in 20 over $100k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 8 in 10 of the 29 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 71 games are announced against 55 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

God Game with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + HistoricalFair19 devs · median $12k · 28 announced
  2. + EconomyFair47 devs · median $2.8k · 58 announced
  3. + PuzzleFair27 devs · median $1.2k · 30 announced
  4. + Inventory ManagementFair16 devs · median $1.1k · 15 announced
  5. + DestructionFair19 devs · median $899 · 20 announced
  6. + DystopianFair14 devs · median $898 · 10 announced
  7. + IdlerFair91 devs · median $839 · 95 announced
  8. + ArcadeLong shot17 devs · median $390 · 20 announced
  9. + Farming SimLong shot22 devs · median $359 · 24 announced
  10. + AgricultureLong shot9 devs · median $180 · 7 announced
  11. + Base BuildingPoor odds37 devs · median $28k · 77 announced
  12. + Tower DefensePoor odds16 devs · median $22k · 22 announced

All 96 pairs on the God Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Microcivilization $17.99 1,437 78% 43k $776k (exactly $775,549) Ondrej Homola
Execute $5.99 679 91% 20k $122k (exactly $122,016) Payne Robinson
Loafing Town $6.99 531 85% 16k $111k (exactly $111,351) GoblinZz
MMO98 $6.99 511 69% 15k $107k (exactly $107,157) BiteMe Games
The Eastern Sacrifice $9.99 356 55% 11k $107k (exactly $106,693) 五条虾仁(5 shrimps)
FEED THE AI $5.99 557 90% 17k $100k (exactly $100,093) Weird Kid Games
PolyPine $8.99 368 95% 11k $99k (exactly $99,250) Cloudberry Pine
拖拖拉拉小菲镇 $1.99 1,528 98% 46k $91k (exactly $91,222) LuzhangGames
Reprisal Universe older $6.99 337 75% 10k $71k (exactly $70,669) electrolyte
Hole Dweller older $7.99 260 96% 7.8k $62k (exactly $62,322) Thigh High Games
Game of Grass $6.99 275 84% 8.3k $58k (exactly $57,668) Hipsterdufus
Ink Reverie $9.99 146 74% 4.4k $44k (exactly $43,756) Rolling Cat Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.