Do I ship it?

GamesGod GameGod Game + Idler

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Idler God Game?

God Game + Idler

Of 91 developers who shipped an Idler God Game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 95 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $840, ×1.3 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $270. Revenue is up 25% on the market; 95 games are announced against 64 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 25% on the market, 95 announced, ×1.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
God Game + Idler
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 91
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.2k → $7.4k → $776 → $1.8k → $179 → $3.1k → $898 (still earning) → $600 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for God Game + Idler: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 91
Bottom 30% $270 (exactly $270)
Median $839 (exactly $839)
Top 25% $5.4k (exactly $5,395)
Top 5% $111k (exactly $111,351)
Developers, 2 yr 91
Released games 173
Announced 95
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 25% on the market, supply 135% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

God Game
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Idler
effort 1 / 10 · high · number growth curves and a UI

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
God Game, Idler; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Incremental, Management, Simulation
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $8.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Relaxing, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $8.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 7,003 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $270, median $840, 1 in 4 over $5.3k, 1 in 20 over $110k.

3 in 10 developers made under $270. 8 in 10 of the 32 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 95 games are announced against 64 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

God Game with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + HistoricalFair19 devs · median $12k · 28 announced
  2. + EconomyFair47 devs · median $2.8k · 58 announced
  3. + PuzzleFair27 devs · median $1.2k · 30 announced
  4. + Inventory ManagementFair16 devs · median $1.1k · 15 announced
  5. + DestructionFair19 devs · median $899 · 20 announced
  6. + DystopianFair14 devs · median $898 · 10 announced
  7. + IncrementalFair79 devs · median $807 · 71 announced
  8. + ArcadeLong shot17 devs · median $390 · 20 announced
  9. + Farming SimLong shot22 devs · median $359 · 24 announced
  10. + AgricultureLong shot9 devs · median $180 · 7 announced
  11. + Base BuildingPoor odds37 devs · median $28k · 77 announced
  12. + Tower DefensePoor odds16 devs · median $22k · 22 announced

All 96 pairs on the God Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
WorldBox - God Simulator · EA older $19.99 51,071 95% 1.5M $31M (exactly $30,627,279) Maxim Karpenko
Ages of Conflict: World War Simulator · EA older $6.99 8,904 96% 267k $1.9M (exactly $1,867,169) JoySpark Games
Fantasy Map Simulator · EA older $7.99 4,190 89% 126k $1.0M (exactly $1,004,343) The Stranger
Microcivilization $17.99 1,437 78% 43k $776k (exactly $775,549) Ondrej Homola
Fish Game older $24.99 589 93% 18k $442k (exactly $441,573) A Shell in the Pit Games, Creative Ink… (A Shell in the Pit Games, Creative Ink Games)
Mountain older $0.99 12,921 88% 388k $384k (exactly $383,754) David OReilly
Execute $5.99 679 91% 20k $122k (exactly $122,016) Payne Robinson
STARIO: Haven Tower · EA $13.99 280 93% 8.4k $118k (exactly $117,516) Stargate Games
Battle On! Hero Academy $4.99 756 83% 23k $113k (exactly $113,173) MMUnit
Loafing Town $6.99 531 85% 16k $111k (exactly $111,351) GoblinZz
MMO98 $6.99 511 69% 15k $107k (exactly $107,157) BiteMe Games
The Eastern Sacrifice $9.99 356 55% 11k $107k (exactly $106,693) 五条虾仁(5 shrimps)
FEED THE AI $5.99 557 90% 17k $100k (exactly $100,093) Weird Kid Games
PolyPine $8.99 368 95% 11k $99k (exactly $99,250) Cloudberry Pine
拖拖拉拉小菲镇 $1.99 1,528 98% 46k $91k (exactly $91,222) LuzhangGames

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.