Do I ship it?

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Specimen · observed

Should I ship a God Game Turn-Based Tactics?

God Game + Turn-Based Tactics

Only 18 developers shipped a God Game Turn-Based Tactics in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Deck of Haunts, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $810, ×1.3 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $720k, ×1152 the market median. Revenue is down 60% on the market; 17 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 60% on the market, 17 announced, ×2.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
God Game + Turn-Based Tactics
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 18
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $898 → $1.2k → $7.3k → $20k → $359 → $0 (still earning) → $719 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for God Game + Turn-Based Tactics: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 18
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $809 (exactly $809)
Top 25% $12k (exactly $11,510)
Top 5% $723k (exactly $723,238)
Developers, 2 yr 18
Released games 46
Announced 17
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 60% on the market, supply 50% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

God Game
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Turn-Based Tactics
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
God Game, Turn-Based Tactics; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Turn-Based Strategy, Base Building
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 2,245 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $810, 1 in 4 over $11k, 1 in 20 over $720k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 8 in 10 of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 17 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

God Game with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + HistoricalFair19 devs · median $12k · 28 announced
  2. + EconomyFair47 devs · median $2.8k · 58 announced
  3. + PuzzleFair27 devs · median $1.2k · 30 announced
  4. + Inventory ManagementFair16 devs · median $1.1k · 15 announced
  5. + DestructionFair19 devs · median $899 · 20 announced
  6. + DystopianFair14 devs · median $898 · 10 announced
  7. + IdlerFair91 devs · median $839 · 95 announced
  8. + IncrementalFair79 devs · median $807 · 71 announced
  9. + ArcadeLong shot17 devs · median $390 · 20 announced
  10. + Farming SimLong shot22 devs · median $359 · 24 announced
  11. + AgricultureLong shot9 devs · median $180 · 7 announced
  12. + Base BuildingPoor odds37 devs · median $28k · 77 announced

All 96 pairs on the God Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Dominions 6 - Rise of the Pantokrator 2024 · $2.3M Deck of Haunts 2025 · $723k Preserve 2025 · $259k These Doomed Isles 2024 · $81k Skyward Collapse 2013 · $28k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Dominions 6 - Rise of the Pantokrator older $44.99 1,686 90% 51k $2.3M (exactly $2,275,594) Illwinter Game Design
Deck of Haunts $19.99 1,206 84% 36k $723k (exactly $723,238) Mantis
Preserve $12.49 690 92% 21k $259k (exactly $258,543) Bitmap Galaxy
These Doomed Isles $14.99 180 66% 5.4k $81k (exactly $80,946) Triplevision Games Limited
Skyward Collapse older $4.99 184 49% 5.5k $28k (exactly $27,545) Arcen Games
Random Legion older $5.99 146 68% 4.4k $26k (exactly $26,236) Stardust Light Studio
Hexagod · EA $7.99 84 88% 2.5k $20k (exactly $20,135) Aarimous
Epoch of Guardians $11.99 32 81% 960 $12k (exactly $11,510) 伊洛维游戏
Football Fictional World Simulator $14.99 24 75% 720 $11k (exactly $10,793) keigo0221
Dungeon ∞ Create older $3.99 61 44% 1.8k $7.3k (exactly $7,302) nikukyu
Fungal Colony Sim 2 $7.99 13 61% 390 $3.1k (exactly $3,116) Skylor Beck
Cosmotiles $4.99 10 100% 300 $1.5k (exactly $1,497) Meru Patel
手机时代 Mobile era $8.99 3 33% 90 $809 (exactly $809) LI XIAOLEI
Meow Box City $7.99 3 100% 90 $719 (exactly $719) Bobo Interactive

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.