Do I ship it?

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Specimen · observed

Should I ship a God Game Turn-Based Strategy?

God Game + Turn-Based Strategy

Only 16 developers shipped a God Game Turn-Based Strategy in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Deck of Haunts, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 21 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.5k, ×2.4 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $90; 1 in 20 cleared $720k, ×1152 the market median. Revenue is down 100% on the market; 21 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 21 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
God Game + Turn-Based Strategy
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 16
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $807 → $7.3k → $20k → $120 (still earning) → $150 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for God Game + Turn-Based Strategy: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $1.5k (exactly $1,497)
Top 25% $81k (exactly $80,946)
Top 5% $723k (exactly $723,238)
Developers, 2 yr 16
Released games 43
Announced 21
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 100% on the market, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

God Game
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Turn-Based Strategy
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
God Game, Turn-Based Strategy; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Strategy, Base Building
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 3,527 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $1.5k, 1 in 4 over $80k, 1 in 20 over $720k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. 6 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 21 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

God Game with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + HistoricalFair19 devs · median $12k · 28 announced
  2. + EconomyFair47 devs · median $2.8k · 58 announced
  3. + PuzzleFair27 devs · median $1.2k · 30 announced
  4. + Inventory ManagementFair16 devs · median $1.1k · 15 announced
  5. + DestructionFair19 devs · median $899 · 20 announced
  6. + DystopianFair14 devs · median $898 · 10 announced
  7. + IdlerFair91 devs · median $839 · 95 announced
  8. + IncrementalFair79 devs · median $807 · 71 announced
  9. + ArcadeLong shot17 devs · median $390 · 20 announced
  10. + Farming SimLong shot22 devs · median $359 · 24 announced
  11. + AgricultureLong shot9 devs · median $180 · 7 announced
  12. + Base BuildingPoor odds37 devs · median $28k · 77 announced

All 96 pairs on the God Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Dominions 5 - Warriors of the Faith 2017 · $2.3M Dominions 6 - Rise of the Pantokrator 2024 · $2.3M Dominions 4: Thrones of Ascension 2013 · $1.2M Godhood 2020 · $785k Deck of Haunts 2025 · $723k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Dominions 5 - Warriors of the Faith older $39.99 1,924 94% 58k $2.3M (exactly $2,308,223) Illwinter Game Design
Dominions 6 - Rise of the Pantokrator older $44.99 1,686 90% 51k $2.3M (exactly $2,275,594) Illwinter Game Design
Dominions 4: Thrones of Ascension older $34.99 1,124 89% 34k $1.2M (exactly $1,179,863) Illwinter Game Design
Godhood older $26.99 970 70% 29k $785k (exactly $785,409) Abbey Games
Deck of Haunts $19.99 1,206 84% 36k $723k (exactly $723,238) Mantis
Shadows of Forbidden Gods older $19.99 1,046 91% 31k $627k (exactly $627,286) Bobby Two Hands
Doodle Empires · EA $6.99 1,279 92% 38k $268k (exactly $268,206) Turtle Stack Games
Preserve $12.49 690 92% 21k $259k (exactly $258,543) Bitmap Galaxy
Deity Empires older $24.99 333 86% 10k $250k (exactly $249,650) BaileyHausdorff Systems
Skyworld older $14.99 229 79% 6.9k $103k (exactly $102,981) Vertigo Games, Wolfdog Interactive
These Doomed Isles $14.99 180 66% 5.4k $81k (exactly $80,946) Triplevision Games Limited
Hexagod · EA $7.99 84 88% 2.5k $20k (exactly $20,135) Aarimous
Epoch of Guardians $11.99 32 81% 960 $12k (exactly $11,510) 伊洛维游戏
Galactic Simulator2: Stargate $5.99 42 78% 1.3k $7.5k (exactly $7,547) PcZ Games
Cosmotiles $4.99 10 100% 300 $1.5k (exactly $1,497) Meru Patel
Meow Box City $7.99 3 100% 90 $719 (exactly $719) Bobo Interactive
Esporia · EA $4.99 1 0% 30 $150 (exactly $150) 采柠工作室

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.