Do I ship it?

GamesTacticalTactical + God Game

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a God Game Tactical game?

Tactical + God Game

Only 15 developers shipped a God Game Tactical game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, MINOS, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 23 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $840, ×1.3 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $540; 1 in 20 cleared $290k, ×468 the market median. Revenue is up 875% on the market; 23 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 875% on the market, 23 announced, ×2.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tactical + God Game
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 15
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.3k → $6.6k → $26k → $10k → $4.6k (still earning) → $5.7k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Tactical + God Game: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 15
Bottom 30% $539 (exactly $539)
Median $839 (exactly $839)
Top 25% $10k (exactly $10,490)
Top 5% $294k (exactly $293,597)
Developers, 2 yr 15
Released games 58
Announced 23
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 875% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tactical
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
God Game
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Tactical, God Game
Price point
$8.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 719 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $540, median $840, 1 in 4 over $10k, 1 in 20 over $290k.

3 in 10 developers made under $540. All of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 23 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tactical with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Football (American)Strong odds12 devs · median $5.8k · 8 announced
  2. + Mystery DungeonStrong odds20 devs · median $2.5k · 15 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair13 devs · median $11k · 9 announced
  4. + 6DOFFair14 devs · median $2.4k · 19 announced
  5. + Word GameFair23 devs · median $1.8k · 12 announced
  6. + TypingFair16 devs · median $1.2k · 9 announced
  7. + DwarvesFair7 devs · median $1.0k · 10 announced
  8. + Traditional RoguelikeFair38 devs · median $987 · 57 announced
  9. + Dynamic NarrationFair13 devs · median $899 · 16 announced
  10. + Farming SimFair12 devs · median $897 · 10 announced
  11. + SolitaireFair25 devs · median $479 · 22 announced
  12. + LGBTQ+Fair20 devs · median $479 · 21 announced

All 226 pairs on the Tactical page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Settlers: New Allies older $39.99 1,175 49% 35k $1.4M (exactly $1,409,648) Ubisoft Düsseldorf
MINOS $17.99 544 88% 16k $294k (exactly $293,597) Artificer
Deity Empires older $24.99 333 86% 10k $250k (exactly $249,650) BaileyHausdorff Systems
Exodus Borealis older $19.99 243 91% 7.3k $146k (exactly $145,727) Smug Marmot Studios
Reprisal Universe older $6.99 337 75% 10k $71k (exactly $70,669) electrolyte
Populous™: The Beginning older $4.99 438 88% 13k $66k (exactly $65,569) Bullfrog Productions
Cyber Ops older $14.99 108 42% 3.2k $49k (exactly $48,568) Octeto Studios
Random Legion older $5.99 146 68% 4.4k $26k (exactly $26,236) Stardust Light Studio
Mind the Vikings · EA older $10.99 74 36% 2.2k $24k (exactly $24,398) Miso Games
Epoch of Guardians $11.99 32 81% 960 $12k (exactly $11,510) 伊洛维游戏
Football Fictional World Simulator $14.99 24 75% 720 $11k (exactly $10,793) keigo0221
Creo God Simulator $9.99 35 68% 1.1k $10k (exactly $10,490) MKSM Design LLC
Idle Together $6.99 37 75% 1.1k $7.8k (exactly $7,759) Eragone
Command by Voice: World Conquest · EA $9.99 19 52% 570 $5.7k (exactly $5,694) Side Meicai
Weather Dragger $7.99 19 100% 570 $4.6k (exactly $4,554) Geese & Goose
BLEST $6.99 4 0% 120 $839 (exactly $839) Oedipe Games
Meow Box City $7.99 3 100% 90 $719 (exactly $719) Bobo Interactive
Cult of Abaruth $8.99 2 100% 60 $539 (exactly $539) Codename: Pierogi Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.