Do I ship it?

GamesGod GameGod Game + Strategy RPG

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a God Game Strategy RPG?

God Game + Strategy RPG

Only 12 developers shipped a God Game Strategy RPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, 吾皇万岁, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 26 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $480, ×0.8 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $59; 1 in 20 cleared $63k, ×101 the market median. Revenue is up 1720% on the market; 26 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 1720% on the market, 26 announced, ×3.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
God Game + Strategy RPG
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $8.5k → $599 → $1.5k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for God Game + Strategy RPG: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $59 (exactly $59)
Median $479 (exactly $479)
Top 25% $1.5k (exactly $1,470)
Top 5% $63k (exactly $63,173)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 34
Announced 26
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1720% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

God Game
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Strategy RPG
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
God Game, Strategy RPG
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 65% positive over 513 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $59, median $480, 1 in 4 over $1.4k, 1 in 20 over $63k.

3 in 10 developers made under $59. All of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 26 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

God Game with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + HistoricalFair19 devs · median $12k · 28 announced
  2. + EconomyFair47 devs · median $2.8k · 58 announced
  3. + PuzzleFair27 devs · median $1.2k · 30 announced
  4. + Inventory ManagementFair16 devs · median $1.1k · 15 announced
  5. + DestructionFair19 devs · median $899 · 20 announced
  6. + DystopianFair14 devs · median $898 · 10 announced
  7. + IdlerFair91 devs · median $839 · 95 announced
  8. + IncrementalFair79 devs · median $807 · 71 announced
  9. + ArcadeLong shot17 devs · median $390 · 20 announced
  10. + Farming SimLong shot22 devs · median $359 · 24 announced
  11. + AgricultureLong shot9 devs · median $180 · 7 announced
  12. + Base BuildingPoor odds37 devs · median $28k · 77 announced

All 96 pairs on the God Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Crossroads Inn Anniversary Edition older $14.99 3,579 55% 107k $1.6M (exactly $1,609,476) Klabater
Populous™: The Beginning older $4.99 438 88% 13k $66k (exactly $65,569) Bullfrog Productions
吾皇万岁 $4.99 422 68% 13k $63k (exactly $63,173) AI GAME STUDIO
Cyber Ops older $14.99 108 42% 3.2k $49k (exactly $48,568) Octeto Studios
Crownbound - Fantasy Kingdom Sim $11.99 73 47% 2.2k $26k (exactly $26,258) Bart Mamzer
Battle Craft older $17.99 16 81% 480 $8.6k (exactly $8,635) Yaremchuk
Populous™ older $4.99 57 84% 1.7k $8.5k (exactly $8,533) Bullfrog Productions
TRIBAL "The 12 Gates" older $24.99 9 88% 270 $6.7k (exactly $6,747) Tribal.Games
Alpha Lyrae Discovery · EA older $10.99 16 87% 480 $5.3k (exactly $5,275) xe2050
Populous™ II: Trials of the Olympian Gods older $4.99 32 78% 960 $4.8k (exactly $4,790) Bullfrog Productions
Quest-Top $7.00 7 100% 210 $1.5k (exactly $1,470) Weiser Games
手机时代 Mobile era $8.99 3 33% 90 $809 (exactly $809) LI XIAOLEI
Spiritual Clinic Simulator $9.99 2 0% 60 $599 (exactly $599) Ling Chen
Planetary Governor · EA $7.99 2 100% 60 $479 (exactly $479) Lensy
Crown Chained $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) MazeGame
Surplus Value Simulator $2.99 1 100% 30 $90 (exactly $90) WANGZHENGYU
Save stray cats $0.99 2 0% 60 $59 (exactly $59) stray cat
Element Warriors $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) DPlay Game

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.