Do I ship it?

Games › God Game › God Game + Roguelike

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Roguelike God Game?

God Game + Roguelike

Of 27 developers who shipped a Roguelike God Game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 34 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.1k, ×4.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $290k, ×468 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 34 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 34 announced, ×2.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
God Game + Roguelike
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 27
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $120 → $8.7k → $20k → $539 → $987 (still earning) → $90 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for God Game + Roguelike: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 27
Bottom 30% $300 (exactly $300)
Median $3.1k (exactly $3,104)
Top 25% $23k (exactly $22,904)
Top 5% $294k (exactly $293,597)
Developers, 2 yr 27
Released games 46
Announced 34
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

God Game
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Roguelike
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
God Game, Roguelike; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Simulation, Base Building
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $17.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Colorful, Isometric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 2,783 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $3.1k, 1 in 4 over $22k, 1 in 20 over $290k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 7 in 10 of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 34 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

God Game with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + HistoricalFair19 devs · median $12k · 28 announced
  2. + EconomyFair47 devs · median $2.8k · 58 announced
  3. + PuzzleFair27 devs · median $1.2k · 30 announced
  4. + Inventory ManagementFair16 devs · median $1.1k · 15 announced
  5. + DestructionFair19 devs · median $899 · 20 announced
  6. + DystopianFair14 devs · median $898 · 10 announced
  7. + IdlerFair91 devs · median $839 · 95 announced
  8. + IncrementalFair79 devs · median $807 · 71 announced
  9. + ArcadeLong shot17 devs · median $390 · 20 announced
  10. + Farming SimLong shot22 devs · median $359 · 24 announced
  11. + AgricultureLong shot9 devs · median $180 · 7 announced
  12. + Base BuildingPoor odds37 devs · median $28k · 77 announced

All 96 pairs on the God Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Rise to Ruins 2019 · $3.3M Deck of Haunts 2025 · $723k Mini Airways - ATC simulator 2024 · $401k Kainga: Seeds of Civilization 2022 · $383k MINOS 2026 · $294k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Rise to Ruins older $14.99 7,234 87% 217k $3.3M (exactly $3,253,130) Raymond Doerr
Deck of Haunts $19.99 1,206 84% 36k $723k (exactly $723,238) Mantis
Mini Airways - ATC simulator older $9.99 1,339 92% 40k $401k (exactly $401,298) CCC Games, Erabit
Kainga: Seeds of Civilization older $19.99 639 74% 19k $383k (exactly $383,208) Erik Rempen
MINOS $17.99 544 88% 16k $294k (exactly $293,597) Artificer
Pandora's Toybox $9.99 372 83% 11k $111k (exactly $111,488) BetaLab
These Doomed Isles $14.99 180 66% 5.4k $81k (exactly $80,946) Triplevision Games Limited
Myths and Legends $17.99 54 92% 1.6k $29k (exactly $29,144) Artificial Worlds
My Infamous Dungeon $14.99 63 76% 1.9k $28k (exactly $28,331) BoxFox Studios
Random Legion older $5.99 146 68% 4.4k $26k (exactly $26,236) Stardust Light Studio
FALL $4.99 153 88% 4.6k $23k (exactly $22,904) 谭浩翔
ELARIENNE $7.99 93 61% 2.8k $22k (exactly $22,292) JDL
Hexagod · EA $7.99 84 88% 2.5k $20k (exactly $20,135) Aarimous
Soulbound Roguelike $9.99 34 82% 1.0k $10k (exactly $10,190) DuDu Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.