Do I ship it?

Games › God Game › God Game + Nature

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Nature God Game?

God Game + Nature

Of 47 developers who shipped a Nature God Game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 66 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $720, ×1.1 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $250k, ×412 the market median. Revenue is flat on the market; 66 games are announced against 26 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.1 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 66 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
God Game + Nature
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 47
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.8k → $2.7k → $3.7k → $8.7k → $449 → $27k → $180 (still earning) → $598 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for God Game + Nature: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 47
Bottom 30% $178 (exactly $178)
Median $716 (exactly $716)
Top 25% $24k (exactly $23,676)
Top 5% $259k (exactly $258,543)
Developers, 2 yr 47
Released games 115
Announced 66
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

God Game
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Nature
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
God Game; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Sandbox, Procedural Generation
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing, Colorful, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 4,852 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $720, 1 in 4 over $23k, 1 in 20 over $250k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 7 in 10 of the 22 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 66 games are announced against 26 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

God Game with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + HistoricalFair19 devs · median $12k · 28 announced
  2. + EconomyFair47 devs · median $2.8k · 58 announced
  3. + PuzzleFair27 devs · median $1.2k · 30 announced
  4. + Inventory ManagementFair16 devs · median $1.1k · 15 announced
  5. + DestructionFair19 devs · median $899 · 20 announced
  6. + DystopianFair14 devs · median $898 · 10 announced
  7. + IdlerFair91 devs · median $839 · 95 announced
  8. + IncrementalFair79 devs · median $807 · 71 announced
  9. + ArcadeLong shot17 devs · median $390 · 20 announced
  10. + Farming SimLong shot22 devs · median $359 · 24 announced
  11. + AgricultureLong shot9 devs · median $180 · 7 announced
  12. + Base BuildingPoor odds37 devs · median $28k · 77 announced

All 96 pairs on the God Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Reus 2 2024 · $1.6M Reus 2013 · $1.5M The Sapling 2019 · EA · $1.0M Equilinox 2018 · $780k Species: Artificial Life, Real Evolution 2018 · EA · $582k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Reus 2 older $24.99 2,133 94% 64k $1.6M (exactly $1,599,110) Abbey Games
Reus older $9.99 4,891 77% 147k $1.5M (exactly $1,465,833) Abbey Games
The Sapling · EA older $17.99 1,922 89% 58k $1.0M (exactly $1,037,303) Wessel Stoop
Equilinox older $9.99 2,604 93% 78k $780k (exactly $780,419) ThinMatrix
Species: Artificial Life, Real Evolution · EA older $19.99 971 73% 29k $582k (exactly $582,309) Quasar
FlowScape older $14.99 1,230 84% 37k $553k (exactly $553,131) Pixel Forest Games
Fish Game older $24.99 589 93% 18k $442k (exactly $441,573) A Shell in the Pit Games, Creative Ink… (A Shell in the Pit Games, Creative Ink Games)
Mountain older $0.99 12,921 88% 388k $384k (exactly $383,754) David OReilly
Ecosystem $19.99 601 76% 18k $360k (exactly $360,420) Tom Johnson
Planetary Life · EA $11.99 912 94% 27k $328k (exactly $328,046) Sotenbox
Preserve $12.49 690 92% 21k $259k (exactly $258,543) Bitmap Galaxy
Strange Seed $14.99 431 86% 13k $194k (exactly $193,821) Chronicle Games Ltd
Terra Firma 2 · EA $19.99 200 92% 6.0k $120k (exactly $119,940) Working as Intended
Nature & Life - Drunk On Nectar $14.99 263 87% 7.9k $118k (exactly $118,271) Venugopalan Sreedharan
PolyPine $8.99 368 95% 11k $99k (exactly $99,250) Cloudberry Pine
Goblin Camp $19.99 118 76% 3.5k $71k (exactly $70,765) Korppi Games Ltd
ANLIFE: Motion-Learning Life Evolution $13.99 161 83% 4.8k $68k (exactly $67,572) Attructure Inc.
Sandboxels $0.99 1,108 94% 33k $33k (exactly $32,908) R74n

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.