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Should I ship a Multiple Endings God Game?
God Game + Multiple Endings
Of 20 developers who shipped a Multiple Endings God Game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 33 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $600, level with the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $150k, ×251 the market median. Revenue is up 60% on the market; 33 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $120 (exactly $120) |
|---|---|
| Median | $599 (exactly $599) |
| Top 25% | $6.1k (exactly $6,100) |
| Top 5% | $158k (exactly $157,941) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 20 |
| Released games | 46 |
| Announced | 33 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $3.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 60% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 4%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- God Game
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Multiple Endings
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- God Game, Multiple Endings; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Character Customization, Choices Matter
- Price point
- $3.99 typical · top 25% priced $17.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Dialogue Heavy
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.
The top 10 games average 89% positive over 1,326 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $120. All of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 33 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
God Game with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + HistoricalFair
- + EconomyFair
- + PuzzleFair
- + Inventory ManagementFair
- + DestructionFair
- + DystopianFair
- + IdlerFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + ArcadeLong shot
- + Farming SimLong shot
- + AgricultureLong shot
- + Base BuildingPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | The Fermi Paradox | · EA older | $18.99 | 956 76% | 29k | $545k (exactly $544,633) | Anomaly Games |
| | Sinner Maker | · EA | $9.66 | 545 91% | 16k | $158k (exactly $157,941) | Pantokrator |
| | Rogue AI Simulator | older | $11.99 | 364 82% | 11k | $131k (exactly $130,931) | Nerdook Productions |
| | FEED THE AI | $5.99 | 557 90% | 17k | $100k (exactly $100,093) | Weird Kid Games | |
| | The Confession | older | $1.99 | 990 94% | 30k | $59k (exactly $59,103) | Randumb Studios |
| | Tidal Tribe | older | $14.99 | 81 88% | 2.4k | $36k (exactly $36,426) | PowPit |
| | Temporian | older | $11.99 | 82 80% | 2.5k | $29k (exactly $29,495) | ChallAcc |
| | Governance | · EA | $17.99 | 33 66% | 990 | $18k (exactly $17,810) | Governance Studios |
| | Sacrifice | $6.99 | 61 85% | 1.8k | $13k (exactly $12,792) | Basue no okiya | |
| | Feed the Greed | $2.99 | 68 73% | 2.0k | $6.1k (exactly $6,100) | Elifam | |
| | Rogue AI: Idle Domination | $5.99 | 26 96% | 780 | $4.7k (exactly $4,672) | Nerdook Productions | |
| | Unforgettable: 4th Dimensional Bartending | $3.99 | 12 100% | 360 | $1.4k (exactly $1,436) | Kalann | |
| | Monkeys & Typewriters! | · EA | $2.99 | 15 93% | 450 | $1.3k (exactly $1,346) | Mage & Friends |
| | Separium: 12th Elevator | $8.88 | 5 100% | 150 | $1.3k (exactly $1,332) | ptpearl | |
| | SHWA[ʃwɑ:] | $4.99 | 4 100% | 120 | $599 (exactly $599) | SECHAN BARAM |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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