Do I ship it?

GamesGod GameGod Game + Multiple Endings

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Multiple Endings God Game?

God Game + Multiple Endings

Of 20 developers who shipped a Multiple Endings God Game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 33 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, level with the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $150k, ×251 the market median. Revenue is up 60% on the market; 33 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 60% on the market, 33 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
God Game + Multiple Endings
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 20
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $772 → $899 → $30 → $4.7k (still earning) → $359 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for God Game + Multiple Endings: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 20
Bottom 30% $120 (exactly $120)
Median $599 (exactly $599)
Top 25% $6.1k (exactly $6,100)
Top 5% $158k (exactly $157,941)
Developers, 2 yr 20
Released games 46
Announced 33
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 60% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 4%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

God Game
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Multiple Endings
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
God Game, Multiple Endings; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Character Customization, Choices Matter
Price point
$3.99 typical · top 25% priced $17.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Dialogue Heavy
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 1,326 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $600, 1 in 4 over $6.1k, 1 in 20 over $150k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. All of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 33 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

God Game with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + HistoricalFair19 devs · median $12k · 28 announced
  2. + EconomyFair47 devs · median $2.8k · 58 announced
  3. + PuzzleFair27 devs · median $1.2k · 30 announced
  4. + Inventory ManagementFair16 devs · median $1.1k · 15 announced
  5. + DestructionFair19 devs · median $899 · 20 announced
  6. + DystopianFair14 devs · median $898 · 10 announced
  7. + IdlerFair91 devs · median $839 · 95 announced
  8. + IncrementalFair79 devs · median $807 · 71 announced
  9. + ArcadeLong shot17 devs · median $390 · 20 announced
  10. + Farming SimLong shot22 devs · median $359 · 24 announced
  11. + AgricultureLong shot9 devs · median $180 · 7 announced
  12. + Base BuildingPoor odds37 devs · median $28k · 77 announced

All 96 pairs on the God Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Fermi Paradox · EA older $18.99 956 76% 29k $545k (exactly $544,633) Anomaly Games
Sinner Maker · EA $9.66 545 91% 16k $158k (exactly $157,941) Pantokrator
Rogue AI Simulator older $11.99 364 82% 11k $131k (exactly $130,931) Nerdook Productions
FEED THE AI $5.99 557 90% 17k $100k (exactly $100,093) Weird Kid Games
The Confession older $1.99 990 94% 30k $59k (exactly $59,103) Randumb Studios
Tidal Tribe older $14.99 81 88% 2.4k $36k (exactly $36,426) PowPit
Temporian older $11.99 82 80% 2.5k $29k (exactly $29,495) ChallAcc
Governance · EA $17.99 33 66% 990 $18k (exactly $17,810) Governance Studios
Sacrifice $6.99 61 85% 1.8k $13k (exactly $12,792) Basue no okiya
Feed the Greed $2.99 68 73% 2.0k $6.1k (exactly $6,100) Elifam
Rogue AI: Idle Domination $5.99 26 96% 780 $4.7k (exactly $4,672) Nerdook Productions
Unforgettable: 4th Dimensional Bartending $3.99 12 100% 360 $1.4k (exactly $1,436) Kalann
Monkeys & Typewriters! · EA $2.99 15 93% 450 $1.3k (exactly $1,346) Mage & Friends
Separium: 12th Elevator $8.88 5 100% 150 $1.3k (exactly $1,332) ptpearl
SHWA[ʃwɑ:] $4.99 4 100% 120 $599 (exactly $599) SECHAN BARAM

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.