Do I ship it?

GamesGod GameGod Game + Magic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Magic God Game?

God Game + Magic

Only 17 developers shipped a Magic God Game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Masters of Albion, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 46 more are announced, ×5.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.9k, ×3.1 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $450k, ×725 the market median. Revenue is up 4575% on the market; 46 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 4575% on the market, 46 announced, ×5.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
God Game + Magic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 17
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $6.6k → $1.7k → $359 → $748 → $9.4k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for God Game + Magic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 17
Bottom 30% $300 (exactly $300)
Median $1.9k (exactly $1,946)
Top 25% $9.4k (exactly $9,353)
Top 5% $455k (exactly $455,068)
Developers, 2 yr 17
Released games 56
Announced 46
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 4575% on the market, supply 10% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

God Game
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Magic
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
God Game; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Building, Simulation, Management
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 75% positive over 1,690 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $1.9k, 1 in 4 over $9.3k, 1 in 20 over $450k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. All of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 46 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

God Game with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + HistoricalFair19 devs · median $12k · 28 announced
  2. + EconomyFair47 devs · median $2.8k · 58 announced
  3. + PuzzleFair27 devs · median $1.2k · 30 announced
  4. + Inventory ManagementFair16 devs · median $1.1k · 15 announced
  5. + DestructionFair19 devs · median $899 · 20 announced
  6. + DystopianFair14 devs · median $898 · 10 announced
  7. + IdlerFair91 devs · median $839 · 95 announced
  8. + IncrementalFair79 devs · median $807 · 71 announced
  9. + ArcadeLong shot17 devs · median $390 · 20 announced
  10. + Farming SimLong shot22 devs · median $359 · 24 announced
  11. + AgricultureLong shot9 devs · median $180 · 7 announced
  12. + Base BuildingPoor odds37 devs · median $28k · 77 announced

All 96 pairs on the God Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Dominions 5 - Warriors of the Faith older $39.99 1,924 94% 58k $2.3M (exactly $2,308,223) Illwinter Game Design
From Dust older $14.99 2,803 67% 84k $1.3M (exactly $1,260,509) Ubisoft Montpellier
Masters of Albion · EA $24.99 607 64% 18k $455k (exactly $455,068) 22cans
Horticular: Build a Garden, Attract Wildlife older $19.99 391 88% 12k $234k (exactly $234,483) inDirection Games
Vade Retro : Exorcist older $6.99 921 70% 28k $193k (exactly $193,134) Forceight
Hearthlands older $15.99 306 82% 9.2k $147k (exactly $146,788) Four White Cats
Pandora's Toybox $9.99 372 83% 11k $111k (exactly $111,488) BetaLab
Loafing Town $6.99 531 85% 16k $111k (exactly $111,351) GoblinZz
Dwelvers older $14.99 237 64% 7.1k $107k (exactly $106,579) Rasmus Ljunggren
Firelight Fantasy: Resistance older $11.99 165 77% 5.0k $59k (exactly $59,350) Quacky Games
The Fool's Apprentice $16.99 42 52% 1.3k $21k (exactly $21,407) The Planar Danse
Jesus Simulator $12.99 24 54% 720 $9.4k (exactly $9,353) VRCFORGE STUDIOS
Karma Keepers $4.99 52 69% 1.6k $7.8k (exactly $7,784) yonazdev
Teleport Master $4.99 31 96% 930 $4.6k (exactly $4,641) SinPoDo
Fungal Colony Sim 2 $7.99 13 61% 390 $3.1k (exactly $3,116) Skylor Beck
Isekai x Isekai $4.99 13 100% 390 $1.9k (exactly $1,946) Bubbles
Alchemy Laboratory: Simulator $4.99 5 100% 150 $748 (exactly $748) Afk Pixel Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.