Do I ship it?

Games › God Game › God Game + Logic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Logic God Game?

God Game + Logic

Only 14 developers shipped a Logic God Game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, İblis3:Phenomena, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 18 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $810, ×1.3 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $98k, ×156 the market median. Revenue is down 10% on the market; 18 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 10% on the market, 18 announced, ×2.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
God Game + Logic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $18k → $2.7k → $2.7k → $4.0k → $809 → $539 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for God Game + Logic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $356 (exactly $356)
Median $809 (exactly $809)
Top 25% $4.9k (exactly $4,934)
Top 5% $98k (exactly $98,204)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 61
Announced 18
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 10% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

God Game
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
God Game, Logic
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 76% positive over 961 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $810, 1 in 4 over $4.9k, 1 in 20 over $98k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 9 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 18 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

God Game with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + HistoricalFair19 devs · median $12k · 28 announced
  2. + EconomyFair47 devs · median $2.8k · 58 announced
  3. + PuzzleFair27 devs · median $1.2k · 30 announced
  4. + Inventory ManagementFair16 devs · median $1.1k · 15 announced
  5. + DestructionFair19 devs · median $899 · 20 announced
  6. + DystopianFair14 devs · median $898 · 10 announced
  7. + IdlerFair91 devs · median $839 · 95 announced
  8. + IncrementalFair79 devs · median $807 · 71 announced
  9. + ArcadeLong shot17 devs · median $390 · 20 announced
  10. + Farming SimLong shot22 devs · median $359 · 24 announced
  11. + AgricultureLong shot9 devs · median $180 · 7 announced
  12. + Base BuildingPoor odds37 devs · median $28k · 77 announced

All 96 pairs on the God Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Marble World 2022 · $760k Paper Beast 2020 · $317k Spectral Scream 2024 · $196k Paper Beast - Folded Edition 2020 · $99k Sand:box 2023 · $99k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Marble World older $19.99 1,268 89% 38k $760k (exactly $760,420) Vector Interactive
Paper Beast older $19.99 529 94% 16k $317k (exactly $317,241) Pixel Reef
Spectral Scream older $9.99 654 78% 20k $196k (exactly $196,004) STOIC Ent.
Paper Beast - Folded Edition older $16.99 195 85% 5.9k $99k (exactly $99,391) Pixel Reef
Sand:box older $1.99 1,659 93% 50k $99k (exactly $99,042) smellymoo
İblis3:Phenomena $12.99 252 56% 7.6k $98k (exactly $98,204) Bulut ULU
Lifecraft · EA older $22.99 142 80% 4.3k $98k (exactly $97,937) Pixbits
Technotopia $4.99 599 86% 18k $90k (exactly $89,670) Yustas
Project Chemistry older $12.99 158 84% 4.7k $62k (exactly $61,573) Ata Türkoğlu, Canberk Demir
VINE older $14.99 40 82% 1.2k $18k (exactly $17,988) FrogParty
Jesus Simulator $12.99 24 54% 720 $9.4k (exactly $9,353) VRCFORGE STUDIOS
The Noble Quran $2.99 55 80% 1.7k $4.9k (exactly $4,934) Quran on Steam
Destructive Contraptions $7.99 6 83% 180 $1.4k (exactly $1,438) Gamergetik
Fill Multicolor $5.99 6 100% 180 $1.1k (exactly $1,078) Alexis Clemente
手机时代 Mobile era $8.99 3 33% 90 $809 (exactly $809) LI XIAOLEI
CodeWar Kingdom $8.99 2 50% 60 $539 (exactly $539) NULL.
Jingjie: Signals $6.99 2 100% 60 $419 (exactly $419) JK Studio
Pure Idle $0.99 12 33% 360 $356 (exactly $356) Riven Elow

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.