Do I ship it?

GamesGod GameGod Game + Horror

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Horror God Game?

God Game + Horror

Only 16 developers shipped a Horror God Game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Deck of Haunts, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 18 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.1k, ×4.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $720k, ×1152 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 18 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 18 announced, ×1.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
God Game + Horror
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 16
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.7k → $2.1k → $9.5k → $98k → $270 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for God Game + Horror: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $179 (exactly $179)
Median $3.1k (exactly $3,104)
Top 25% $98k (exactly $98,204)
Top 5% $723k (exactly $723,238)
Developers, 2 yr 16
Released games 53
Announced 18
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

God Game
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Horror
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
God Game; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Strategy, Base Building
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 1990's, 3D, Dark
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 2,823 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $3.1k, 1 in 4 over $98k, 1 in 20 over $720k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 6 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 18 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

God Game with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + HistoricalFair19 devs · median $12k · 28 announced
  2. + EconomyFair47 devs · median $2.8k · 58 announced
  3. + PuzzleFair27 devs · median $1.2k · 30 announced
  4. + Inventory ManagementFair16 devs · median $1.1k · 15 announced
  5. + DestructionFair19 devs · median $899 · 20 announced
  6. + DystopianFair14 devs · median $898 · 10 announced
  7. + IdlerFair91 devs · median $839 · 95 announced
  8. + IncrementalFair79 devs · median $807 · 71 announced
  9. + ArcadeLong shot17 devs · median $390 · 20 announced
  10. + Farming SimLong shot22 devs · median $359 · 24 announced
  11. + AgricultureLong shot9 devs · median $180 · 7 announced
  12. + Base BuildingPoor odds37 devs · median $28k · 77 announced

All 96 pairs on the God Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Dungeons 3 older $29.99 12,648 93% 379k $11M (exactly $11,379,406) Realmforge Studios
Bio Inc. Redemption older $12.99 3,051 87% 92k $1.2M (exactly $1,188,975) DryGin Studios
Deck of Haunts $19.99 1,206 84% 36k $723k (exactly $723,238) Mantis
Shadows of Forbidden Gods older $19.99 1,046 91% 31k $627k (exactly $627,286) Bobby Two Hands
MachiaVillain older $19.99 723 64% 22k $434k (exactly $433,583) Wild Factor
iBLiS older $9.99 687 41% 21k $206k (exactly $205,894) Bulut ULU
Bean Battles older $0.99 6,783 94% 203k $201k (exactly $201,455) Gupa Games
Spectral Scream older $9.99 654 78% 20k $196k (exactly $196,004) STOIC Ent.
Ultimate Arena older $7.99 811 83% 24k $194k (exactly $194,397) Triverske
Vade Retro : Exorcist older $6.99 921 70% 28k $193k (exactly $193,134) Forceight
Mars Attracts · EA $24.99 209 91% 6.3k $157k (exactly $156,687) Outlier
Execute $5.99 679 91% 20k $122k (exactly $122,016) Payne Robinson
İblis3:Phenomena $12.99 252 56% 7.6k $98k (exactly $98,204) Bulut ULU
FALL $4.99 153 88% 4.6k $23k (exactly $22,904) 谭浩翔
Sacrifice $6.99 61 85% 1.8k $13k (exactly $12,792) Basue no okiya
Anomaly Evolution $1.99 205 73% 6.2k $12k (exactly $12,238) TentaclesGames
NABI $1.99 52 61% 1.6k $3.1k (exactly $3,104) Fancysquare
Spiritual Clinic Simulator $9.99 2 0% 60 $599 (exactly $599) Ling Chen
Nuclear Lizard Island Rampage $2.99 4 75% 120 $359 (exactly $359) Andrew Connelly

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.