Do I ship it?

GamesTanksTanks + Futuristic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Futuristic Tank game?

Tanks + Futuristic

Only 13 developers shipped a Futuristic Tank game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, FRONT MISSION 3: Remake, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 29 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300 in the last 2 years and $360 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 9 developers shipped in the last year and 29 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 80% on the market, 29 announced, ×3.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tanks + Futuristic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.8k → $23k → $7.9k → $0 → $23k (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Tanks + Futuristic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $299 (exactly $299)
Top 25% $898 (exactly $898)
Top 5% $476k (exactly $475,514)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 62
Announced 29
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 125% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tanks
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Futuristic
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Tanks; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Top-Down Shooter, Arcade
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $34.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Pixel Graphics, Retro
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $34.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 9 games average 77% positive over 646 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $300, 1 in 4 over $890, 1 in 20 over $470k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 29 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tanks with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + HistoricalFair25 devs · median $5.4k · 26 announced
  2. + Turn-Based StrategyFair25 devs · median $3.0k · 24 announced
  3. + Turn-Based TacticsFair24 devs · median $3.0k · 24 announced
  4. + Tower DefenseFair14 devs · median $1.5k · 13 announced
  5. + Open WorldFair9 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  6. + 2D PlatformerFair11 devs · median $599 · 11 announced
  7. + Online Co-OpPoor odds10 devs · median $16k · 26 announced
  8. + RPGPoor odds13 devs · median $14k · 8 announced
  9. + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds18 devs · median $7.2k · 23 announced
  10. + Action RTSPoor odds12 devs · median $4.0k · 19 announced
  11. + Real Time TacticsPoor odds22 devs · median $3.2k · 38 announced
  12. + TacticalPoor odds49 devs · median $2.5k · 85 announced

All 71 pairs on the Tanks page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
FRONT MISSION 1st: Remake older $34.99 745 77% 22k $782k (exactly $782,026) Forever Entertainment S. A.
FRONT MISSION 3: Remake $34.99 453 74% 14k $476k (exactly $475,514) MegaPixel Studio S.A.
FRONT MISSION 2: Remake older $34.99 349 57% 10k $366k (exactly $366,345) Storm Trident S.A.
Aircraft Evolution older $8.99 221 80% 6.6k $60k (exactly $59,604) Satur Entertainment
Dieselpunk Wars older $14.99 116 55% 3.5k $52k (exactly $52,165) Image Power S.A., Roasted Games
Battle Engine Aquila older $9.99 139 92% 4.2k $42k (exactly $41,658) Lost Toys Ltd
ReEarth older $7.99 116 74% 3.5k $28k (exactly $27,805) Jiangzuogongfang Shanghai Game Co.,Ltd
BROTANK $4.99 153 81% 4.6k $23k (exactly $22,904) Dfirend Games
Shrot older $6.99 109 89% 3.3k $23k (exactly $22,857) Spytihněv
Vektor Wars older $9.99 39 76% 1.2k $12k (exactly $11,688) Integer Overflow
Exo Wanderers · EA $11.99 22 100% 660 $7.9k (exactly $7,913) 什工坊SueStudio
Griffin 「グリフォン」 $5.99 5 80% 150 $898 (exactly $898) Ratalaika Games S.L., Shinyuden
Tread Heavy $3.99 5 100% 150 $598 (exactly $598) Nos Games LTD
Nyassembled! · EA $8.99 2 100% 60 $539 (exactly $539) K. N. Factory
Soul Machine $4.99 2 0% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Zanarka Studio
Warscape Alpha $2.99 1 100% 30 $90 (exactly $90) Future-B Games
Golgalian $0.99 3 100% 90 $89 (exactly $89) Atael
Krieg · EA $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) EliteInterapptive

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.