Do I ship it?

GamesParty GameParty Game + Fantasy

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Fantasy Party Game?

Party Game + Fantasy

Of 37 developers who shipped a Fantasy Party Game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 133 more are announced, ×4.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300, ×0.6 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50. 133 games are announced against 33 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper, while revenue is down 80% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 80% on the market, 133 announced, ×4.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Party Game + Fantasy
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 37
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.2k → $3.0k → $7.9k → $1.2k → $269 (still earning) → $90 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Party Game + Fantasy: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 37
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $300 (exactly $300)
Top 25% $3.4k (exactly $3,356)
Top 5% $265k (exactly $265,394)
Developers, 2 yr 37
Released games 85
Announced 133
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 560% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 24%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Party Game
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Fantasy
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Party Game; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry PvP, Action, Online Co-Op
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Funny, Comedy
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 1,717 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $300, 1 in 4 over $3.3k, 1 in 20 over $260k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 8 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 133 games are announced against 33 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Party Game with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Board GameFair72 devs · median $899 · 98 announced
  2. + RhythmFair11 devs · median $802 · 19 announced
  3. + DeckbuildingFair22 devs · median $719 · 30 announced
  4. + Card BattlerFair28 devs · median $449 · 35 announced
  5. + MinigamesPoor odds28 devs · median $4.0k · 66 announced
  6. + RoguelitePoor odds22 devs · median $2.7k · 68 announced
  7. + RoguelikePoor odds16 devs · median $2.7k · 51 announced
  8. + Vehicular CombatPoor odds14 devs · median $2.4k · 45 announced
  9. + DestructionPoor odds13 devs · median $1.8k · 79 announced
  10. + DrivingPoor odds28 devs · median $1.7k · 60 announced
  11. + SurvivalPoor odds55 devs · median $1.3k · 135 announced
  12. + HorrorPoor odds61 devs · median $1.3k · 144 announced

All 95 pairs on the Party Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Ale & Tale Tavern older $14.99 8,692 88% 261k $3.9M (exactly $3,908,792) Scienart Games
King Of The Castle older $9.99 1,403 90% 42k $420k (exactly $420,479) Tributary Games
The Jackbox Party Pack 11 $29.99 419 93% 13k $377k (exactly $376,974) Jackbox Games, Inc.
The Yawhg older $9.99 1,131 84% 34k $339k (exactly $338,961) Damian Sommer, Emily Carroll
DOKAPON! Sword of Fury $24.99 354 85% 11k $265k (exactly $265,394) Sting
Conan Chop Chop older $14.99 423 65% 13k $190k (exactly $190,223) Mighty Kingdom
DunHero $8.99 530 89% 16k $143k (exactly $142,941) Dev Kacper
Knight Squad older $14.99 194 89% 5.8k $87k (exactly $87,242) Chainsawesome Games
Knight Squad 2 older $14.99 173 93% 5.2k $78k (exactly $77,798) Chainsawesome Games
Dungeon Golf older $16.99 79 81% 2.4k $40k (exactly $40,266) Ant Workshop Ltd
Super Shout Showdown · EA $7.99 111 83% 3.3k $27k (exactly $26,607) Rezero Studio
Villainy $7.99 88 94% 2.6k $21k (exactly $21,094) Studio Rend
Forest of Deceit $9.99 35 100% 1.1k $10k (exactly $10,490) Ghost Camp
A Smithing Game $3.99 79 79% 2.4k $9.5k (exactly $9,456) Zoteling
5 Minute Raid $4.99 53 90% 1.6k $7.9k (exactly $7,934) MoMong
YGGDRA: SURVIVOR $4.99 34 79% 1.0k $5.1k (exactly $5,090) BD
Staged $7.99 14 100% 420 $3.4k (exactly $3,356) Project Sunset

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.