Do I ship it?

GamesRoguelikeRoguelike + Faith

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Faith Roguelike?

Roguelike + Faith

Of 20 developers who shipped a Faith Roguelike in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 30 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $9.9k, ×21 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $950k, ×2003 the market median. Revenue is up 13990% on the market; 30 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 20.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 13990% on the market, 30 announced, ×2.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Roguelike + Faith
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 20
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.5k → $450 → $8.6k → $95k (still earning) → $49k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Roguelike + Faith: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 20
Bottom 30% $450 (exactly $450)
Median $9.9k (exactly $9,893)
Top 25% $77k (exactly $77,348)
Top 5% $951k (exactly $951,471)
Developers, 2 yr 20
Released games 44
Announced 30
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 13990% on the market, supply 85% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Roguelike
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Faith
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Roguelike; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action Roguelike, Roguelite
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Anime, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 5,485 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $9.9k, 1 in 4 over $77k, 1 in 20 over $950k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 9 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 30 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Roguelike with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + JRPGFair85 devs · median $5.2k · 103 announced
  2. + 6DOFFair15 devs · median $4.7k · 7 announced
  3. + Grand StrategyFair18 devs · median $3.3k · 22 announced
  4. + VampiresFair59 devs · median $3.1k · 58 announced
  5. + DogsFair30 devs · median $1.9k · 17 announced
  6. + Artificial IntelligenceFair60 devs · median $1.8k · 85 announced
  7. + SuperheroFair12 devs · median $1.1k · 17 announced
  8. + IdlerFair160 devs · median $1.0k · 206 announced
  9. + ArcadeFair841 devs · median $959 · 1,066 announced
  10. + Walking SimulatorFair29 devs · median $718 · 28 announced
  11. + 2D PlatformerFair264 devs · median $599 · 320 announced
  12. + Traditional RoguelikeFair247 devs · median $599 · 314 announced

All 231 pairs on the Roguelike page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Touhou: Lost Branch of Legend · EA older $29.99 2,036 92% 61k $1.8M (exactly $1,831,789) Alioth Studio
Touhou Genso Wanderer -Reloaded- older $34.99 1,734 93% 52k $1.8M (exactly $1,820,180) AQUASTYLE
33 Immortals $14.89 2,130 72% 64k $951k (exactly $951,471) Thunder Lotus
Touhou Dystopian $9.99 2,161 97% 65k $648k (exactly $647,652) Kay Lnk
Touhou Monster TD ~ 幻想乡妖怪塔防 older $18.99 948 90% 28k $540k (exactly $540,076) MyACG Studio
Touhou Endless Dream older $7.99 1,705 93% 51k $409k (exactly $408,688) a10a010, MyACG Studio
Touhou Blooming Chaos 2 older $5.99 2,160 92% 65k $388k (exactly $388,152) 二色幽紫蝶, re零同人社
Touhou Genso Wanderer -Lotus Labyrinth R- older $34.99 335 78% 10k $352k (exactly $351,650) AQUASTYLE
Touhou Genso Wanderer -FORESIGHT- older $34.99 290 46% 8.7k $304k (exactly $304,413) AQUASTYLE, ankaa studio
Black & White older $14.99 612 71% 18k $275k (exactly $275,216) 零创游戏(ZerocreationGame)
Internet Survivor Survivors $14.99 234 75% 7.0k $105k (exactly $105,230) ビートまりお / COOL&CREATE
Touhou Lensed Night Sky, Kaseigai $22.00 144 95% 4.3k $95k (exactly $95,040) Fire Land
Malys $14.99 172 79% 5.2k $77k (exactly $77,348) Summerfall Studios
Flock of the Seraphim $9.99 162 85% 4.9k $49k (exactly $48,551) GuuchanDev
Touhou Witch's Night Market $4.99 236 93% 7.1k $35k (exactly $35,329) Meboxen Studio
Touhou Rinrinki ~ Crafts of the Lucky Beast · EA $9.99 117 92% 3.5k $35k (exactly $35,065) Starcrow Dev
东方醉游稽传~Touhou Drunken Rebellion $8.99 107 88% 3.2k $29k (exactly $28,858) 落羽社
Herogue $14.99 22 95% 660 $9.9k (exactly $9,893) 巴豆肥工作室

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.