Do I ship it?

GamesEconomyEconomy + Time Manipulation

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Time Manipulation Economy game?

Economy + Time Manipulation

Only 18 developers shipped a Time Manipulation Economy game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Hotel Architect, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 23 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $480, ×0.8 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $1.7M, ×2771 the market median. Revenue is up 135% on the market; 23 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 135% on the market, 23 announced, ×2.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Economy + Time Manipulation
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 18
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $89k → $478 → $713 → $629 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Economy + Time Manipulation: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 18
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $478 (exactly $478)
Top 25% $3.7k (exactly $3,742)
Top 5% $1.7M (exactly $1,740,020)
Developers, 2 yr 18
Released games 48
Announced 23
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 135% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Economy
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Time Manipulation
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Economy, Time Manipulation; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Management, Building, City Builder
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing, 2D, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 2,330 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $480, 1 in 4 over $3.7k, 1 in 20 over $1.7M.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. All of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 23 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Economy with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorFair116 devs · median $22k · 125 announced
  2. + Football (Soccer)Fair21 devs · median $6.8k · 29 announced
  3. + ScienceFair39 devs · median $5.9k · 39 announced
  4. + MiningFair116 devs · median $5.0k · 173 announced
  5. + LootFair74 devs · median $4.6k · 114 announced
  6. + CollectathonFair125 devs · median $3.8k · 151 announced
  7. + God GameFair47 devs · median $2.8k · 58 announced
  8. + Auto BattlerFair59 devs · median $2.4k · 79 announced
  9. + IdlerFair441 devs · median $2.3k · 589 announced
  10. + IncrementalFair408 devs · median $2.2k · 612 announced
  11. + ArcadeFair199 devs · median $2.1k · 285 announced
  12. + Strategy RPGFair95 devs · median $2.0k · 128 announced

All 161 pairs on the Economy page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
F1® Manager 2024 older $34.99 5,554 83% 167k $5.8M (exactly $5,830,034) Frontier Developments
Hotel Architect $29.99 1,934 94% 58k $1.7M (exactly $1,740,020) Pathos Interactive
SeaOrama: World of Shipping older $19.99 382 58% 11k $229k (exactly $229,085) Hidden Tower, SeaOrama
Train World older $34.99 85 75% 2.6k $89k (exactly $89,224) Turn Point Games
Check Inn $14.99 197 84% 5.9k $89k (exactly $88,591) KishMish Games
Hotel Giant 2 older $7.99 268 47% 8.0k $64k (exactly $64,240) Enlight Software Limited, PerspectX
Oasis Mission: Colony Sim $14.99 91 56% 2.7k $41k (exactly $40,923) Lunar pug studio
Poop Clicker older $0.99 725 76% 22k $22k (exactly $21,532) Serge Kornew
Industry Giant older $9.99 70 77% 2.1k $21k (exactly $20,979) QLOC
Spaceport Trading Company · EA older $14.99 33 87% 990 $15k (exactly $14,840) Digital Tectonics, LLC
Day Trade Coach $14.99 17 47% 510 $7.6k (exactly $7,645) Ragnar Beaucoup
Arcade Empire Tycoon $4.99 25 68% 750 $3.7k (exactly $3,742) Mind Inside Games
Ghostify $3.99 27 81% 810 $3.2k (exactly $3,232) LightTriadGames
Hardware Store & Workshop Simulator · EA $0.99 24 79% 720 $713 (exactly $713) Superwolf Game Studio
Ultimate Car Company Tycoon · EA $6.99 3 33% 90 $629 (exactly $629) Tengrava Games
Infinite Idle: Online Clicker RPG $1.99 8 37% 240 $478 (exactly $478) Comar Studios
From Aristocrat's Pet to Culinary Queen: Reigning Over Flavors and Forbidden Desires $3.29 4 25% 120 $395 (exactly $395) Myriad

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.