Do I ship it?

GamesEconomyEconomy + Science

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Science Economy game?

Economy + Science

Of 39 developers who shipped a Science Economy game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 39 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $5.9k, ×9.4 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $420. Revenue is up 655% on the market; 39 games are announced against 26 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 9.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 655% on the market, 39 announced, ×1.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Economy + Science
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 39
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.3k → $719 → $16k → $5.8k → $11k (still earning) → $3.9k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Economy + Science: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 39
Bottom 30% $419 (exactly $419)
Median $5.9k (exactly $5,872)
Top 25% $40k (exactly $39,734)
Top 5% $295k (exactly $294,632)
Developers, 2 yr 39
Released games 75
Announced 39
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 655% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Economy
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Science
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Economy; 9 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Management, Strategy, Building
Price point
$8.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 74% positive over 8,010 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $420, median $5.9k, 1 in 4 over $39k, 1 in 20 over $290k.

3 in 10 developers made under $420. 7 in 10 of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 39 games are announced against 26 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Economy with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorFair116 devs · median $22k · 125 announced
  2. + Football (Soccer)Fair21 devs · median $6.8k · 29 announced
  3. + MiningFair116 devs · median $5.0k · 173 announced
  4. + LootFair74 devs · median $4.6k · 114 announced
  5. + CollectathonFair125 devs · median $3.8k · 151 announced
  6. + God GameFair47 devs · median $2.8k · 58 announced
  7. + Auto BattlerFair59 devs · median $2.4k · 79 announced
  8. + IdlerFair441 devs · median $2.3k · 589 announced
  9. + IncrementalFair408 devs · median $2.2k · 612 announced
  10. + ArcadeFair199 devs · median $2.1k · 285 announced
  11. + Strategy RPGFair95 devs · median $2.0k · 128 announced
  12. + Grid-Based MovementFair20 devs · median $1.2k · 29 announced

All 161 pairs on the Economy page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Automation - The Car Company Tycoon Game · EA older $29.99 16,815 93% 504k $15M (exactly $15,128,456) Camshaft Software Ltd
Eco · EA older $29.99 11,375 80% 341k $10M (exactly $10,234,088) Strange Loop Games
Prehistoric Kingdom · EA older $29.99 5,640 90% 169k $5.1M (exactly $5,074,308) Blue Meridian
SpaceBourne 2 $19.99 4,951 75% 149k $3.0M (exactly $2,969,115) Burak Dabak
InfraSpace older $24.99 1,638 82% 49k $1.2M (exactly $1,228,009) Dionic Software
Slipways older $16.99 2,233 93% 67k $1.1M (exactly $1,138,160) Beetlewing
Imagine Earth older $24.99 810 79% 24k $607k (exactly $607,257) Serious Bros.
Interstellar Transport Company older $24.99 395 65% 12k $296k (exactly $296,132) MT Worlds
Zombie Cure Lab $24.99 393 65% 12k $295k (exactly $294,632) Thera Bytes GmbH
Data Center $8.99 916 76% 27k $247k (exactly $247,045) Waseku
Monster Lab Simulator · EA $12.99 505 70% 15k $197k (exactly $196,798) Round 3 Studios
Realpolitiks 3: Earth and Beyond $24.99 253 39% 7.6k $190k (exactly $189,674) Jujubee
Learning Factory $14.99 390 84% 12k $175k (exactly $175,383) Luden.io
MegaFactory Titan $19.99 150 76% 4.5k $90k (exactly $89,955) Q Switched Productions, LLC
Space Architect $9.99 294 73% 8.8k $88k (exactly $88,112) Albert Wiatr
Screeps: Arena $19.99 105 82% 3.2k $63k (exactly $62,968) Screeps, LLC
Possible One: Lunar Industries · EA $24.99 53 64% 1.6k $40k (exactly $39,734) Upstairs Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.