Do I ship it?

GamesEconomyEconomy + Idler

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Idler Economy game?

Economy + Idler

Of 441 developers who shipped an Idler Economy game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 589 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.3k, ×3.7 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $600. Revenue is up 85% on the market; 589 games are announced against 337 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 85% on the market, 589 announced, ×1.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Economy + Idler
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 441
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.9k → $2.9k → $4.5k → $3.9k → $2.2k → $2.7k → $3.3k (still earning) → $955 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Economy + Idler: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 441
Bottom 30% $599 (exactly $599)
Median $2.3k (exactly $2,336)
Top 25% $17k (exactly $17,365)
Top 5% $257k (exactly $256,673)
Developers, 2 yr 441
Released games 703
Announced 589
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 85% on the market, supply 205% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Economy
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Idler
effort 1 / 10 · high · number growth curves and a UI

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Economy, Idler; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Management, Simulation, Incremental
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $7.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing, 2D, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $7.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 94% positive over 79,628 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $2.3k, 1 in 4 over $17k, 1 in 20 over $250k.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 7 in 10 of the 146 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 589 games are announced against 337 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Economy with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorFair116 devs · median $22k · 125 announced
  2. + Football (Soccer)Fair21 devs · median $6.8k · 29 announced
  3. + ScienceFair39 devs · median $5.9k · 39 announced
  4. + MiningFair116 devs · median $5.0k · 173 announced
  5. + LootFair74 devs · median $4.6k · 114 announced
  6. + CollectathonFair125 devs · median $3.8k · 151 announced
  7. + God GameFair47 devs · median $2.8k · 58 announced
  8. + Auto BattlerFair59 devs · median $2.4k · 79 announced
  9. + IncrementalFair408 devs · median $2.2k · 612 announced
  10. + ArcadeFair199 devs · median $2.1k · 285 announced
  11. + Strategy RPGFair95 devs · median $2.0k · 128 announced
  12. + Grid-Based MovementFair20 devs · median $1.2k · 29 announced

All 161 pairs on the Economy page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Cookie Clicker older $4.99 87,916 96% 2.6M $13M (exactly $13,161,025) Orteil, DashNet
Cast n Chill $14.99 8,383 94% 251k $3.8M (exactly $3,769,835) Wombat Brawler
Farm Together 2 $25.99 4,456 93% 134k $3.5M (exactly $3,474,343) Milkstone Studios
Scritchy Scratchy $6.99 15,245 94% 457k $3.2M (exactly $3,196,876) Lunch Money Games
Rusty's Retirement older $6.99 13,902 96% 417k $2.9M (exactly $2,915,249) Mister Morris Games
The Farmer Was Replaced $9.99 9,116 95% 273k $2.7M (exactly $2,732,065) Timon Herzog
Shelldiver $4.99 16,806 98% 504k $2.5M (exactly $2,515,858) Gagonfe
(the) Gnorp Apologue older $6.99 9,613 94% 288k $2.0M (exactly $2,015,846) Myco
Chillquarium older $5.99 7,780 92% 233k $1.4M (exactly $1,398,066) Ben Reber
Farm Manager 2021 older $19.99 2,296 79% 69k $1.4M (exactly $1,376,911) Cleversan Games
Keep on Mining! $4.99 8,300 93% 249k $1.2M (exactly $1,242,510) EagleEye Games
Fortune Mill $7.99 3,712 81% 111k $890k (exactly $889,766) Lavaflame2
Tower Wizard $2.99 8,787 96% 264k $788k (exactly $788,194) Barribob
Microcivilization $17.99 1,437 78% 43k $776k (exactly $775,549) Ondrej Homola
Tiny Aquarium: Social Fishkeeping $7.49 3,386 95% 102k $761k (exactly $760,834) Lunheim Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.