Do I ship it?

GamesEconomyEconomy + Loot

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Loot Economy game?

Economy + Loot

Of 74 developers who shipped a Loot Economy game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 114 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $4.6k, ×7.3 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $960. Revenue is up 310% on the market; 114 games are announced against 60 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 7.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 310% on the market, 114 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Economy + Loot
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 74
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.2k → $1.6k → $539 → $15k → $1.4k → $4.9k → $6.1k (still earning) → $2.9k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Economy + Loot: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 74
Bottom 30% $960 (exactly $960)
Median $4.6k (exactly $4,612)
Top 25% $36k (exactly $36,195)
Top 5% $890k (exactly $889,766)
Developers, 2 yr 74
Released games 135
Announced 114
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 310% on the market, supply 300% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 21%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Economy
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Loot
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Economy, Loot; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Incremental, Idler
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing, Colorful, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 42,377 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $960, median $4.6k, 1 in 4 over $36k, 1 in 20 over $880k.

3 in 10 developers made under $960. 7 in 10 of the 21 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 114 games are announced against 60 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Economy with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorFair116 devs · median $22k · 125 announced
  2. + Football (Soccer)Fair21 devs · median $6.8k · 29 announced
  3. + ScienceFair39 devs · median $5.9k · 39 announced
  4. + MiningFair116 devs · median $5.0k · 173 announced
  5. + CollectathonFair125 devs · median $3.8k · 151 announced
  6. + God GameFair47 devs · median $2.8k · 58 announced
  7. + Auto BattlerFair59 devs · median $2.4k · 79 announced
  8. + IdlerFair441 devs · median $2.3k · 589 announced
  9. + IncrementalFair408 devs · median $2.2k · 612 announced
  10. + ArcadeFair199 devs · median $2.1k · 285 announced
  11. + Strategy RPGFair95 devs · median $2.0k · 128 announced
  12. + Grid-Based MovementFair20 devs · median $1.2k · 29 announced

All 161 pairs on the Economy page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Storage Hunter Simulator $24.99 3,866 78% 116k $2.9M (exactly $2,898,340) Raccoons Studio
A Game About Digging A Hole™ $4.99 18,785 89% 564k $2.8M (exactly $2,812,114) DoubleBee
Keep on Mining! $4.99 8,300 93% 249k $1.2M (exactly $1,242,510) EagleEye Games
Fortune Mill $7.99 3,712 81% 111k $890k (exactly $889,766) Lavaflame2
Survive the Fall $24.99 590 65% 18k $442k (exactly $442,323) Angry Bulls Studio
Keep on Mining! - Worlds $6.99 1,899 80% 57k $398k (exactly $398,220) EagleEye Games
My Wife Threw Out My Card Collection (So I Bought a Dump to Find Them All) ⭐ $7.95 1,601 65% 48k $382k (exactly $381,838) Polnoch
Meltopia $6.99 1,679 85% 50k $352k (exactly $352,086) Garden of Dreams
Wayblazer Dämmerung $39.99 244 65% 7.3k $293k (exactly $292,727) Eushully
Loot Loop $4.99 1,701 93% 51k $255k (exactly $254,640) BitBrew

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.