Do I ship it?

GamesEconomyEconomy + Rome

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Roman Economy game?

Economy + Rome

Only 11 developers shipped a Roman Economy game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Anno 117: Pax Romana, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 9 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $17k, ×27 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $3.6k; 1 in 20 cleared $21M, ×34819 the market median. Revenue is down 55% on the market; 9 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 26.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 55% on the market, 9 announced, ×1.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Economy + Rome
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Economy + Rome: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $3.6k (exactly $3,596)
Median $17k (exactly $16,790)
Top 25% $160k (exactly $159,520)
Top 5% $22M (exactly $21,866,355)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 29
Announced 9
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $15.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 55% on the market, supply 75% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Economy
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Rome
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Economy
Price point
$15.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 70% positive over 13,699 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $3.6k, median $17k, 1 in 4 over $150k, 1 in 20 over $21M.

3 in 10 developers made under $3.6k. 9 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Economy with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorFair116 devs · median $22k · 125 announced
  2. + Football (Soccer)Fair21 devs · median $6.8k · 29 announced
  3. + ScienceFair39 devs · median $5.9k · 39 announced
  4. + MiningFair116 devs · median $5.0k · 173 announced
  5. + LootFair74 devs · median $4.6k · 114 announced
  6. + CollectathonFair125 devs · median $3.8k · 151 announced
  7. + God GameFair47 devs · median $2.8k · 58 announced
  8. + Auto BattlerFair59 devs · median $2.4k · 79 announced
  9. + IdlerFair441 devs · median $2.3k · 589 announced
  10. + IncrementalFair408 devs · median $2.2k · 612 announced
  11. + ArcadeFair199 devs · median $2.1k · 285 announced
  12. + Strategy RPGFair95 devs · median $2.0k · 128 announced

All 161 pairs on the Economy page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Imperator: Rome older $39.99 19,492 65% 585k $23M (exactly $23,384,552) Paradox Development Studio
Anno 117: Pax Romana $59.99 12,150 69% 365k $22M (exactly $21,866,355) Ubisoft Mainz
Citadelum $24.99 1,005 83% 30k $753k (exactly $753,448) Abylight Barcelona
Ancient Wars: Sparta Definitive Edition · EA older $19.99 453 74% 14k $272k (exactly $271,664) JOTASOFT STUDIOS
Caesar™ IV older $9.99 821 71% 25k $246k (exactly $246,054) Tilted Mill Entertainment, Inc.
Ludus older $9.99 794 71% 24k $238k (exactly $237,962) Cheesecake Dev
Pompeii: The Legacy $19.99 266 80% 8.0k $160k (exactly $159,520) Siscia Games
Orbi Universo older $19.99 195 76% 5.9k $117k (exactly $116,941) Orbi Universo Team
Concordia: Digital Edition older $19.99 167 83% 5.0k $100k (exactly $100,150) Acram Digital
Fall of an Empire $29.99 80 67% 2.4k $72k (exactly $71,976) JG Games
Orbi Universo II $24.99 85 75% 2.6k $64k (exactly $63,724) Orbi Universo Team
Explorers of Esmar · EA $15.99 35 85% 1.1k $17k (exactly $16,790) Tipri Games
Nova Patria $11.99 22 100% 660 $7.9k (exactly $7,913) Sower Interactive
CRIXUS: Life of free Gladiator $7.99 15 46% 450 $3.6k (exactly $3,596) Waseku
Grow Empire: Rome $3.99 28 64% 840 $3.4k (exactly $3,352) Games Station
Restitutor: Empire Restored · EA $5.99 13 84% 390 $2.3k (exactly $2,336) FishPond

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.