Do I ship it?

GamesEconomyEconomy + Robots

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Robot Economy game?

Economy + Robots

Only 18 developers shipped a Robot Economy game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, ZeroSpace, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 51 more are announced, ×4.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.7k, ×4.3 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $60; 1 in 20 cleared $1.3M, ×2218 the market median. Revenue is down 25% on the market; 51 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 25% on the market, 51 announced, ×4.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Economy + Robots
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 18
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $299 → $2.9k → $28k → $150 → $2.7k (still earning) → $1.6k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Economy + Robots: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 18
Bottom 30% $60 (exactly $60)
Median $2.7k (exactly $2,726)
Top 25% $8.7k (exactly $8,700)
Top 5% $1.4M (exactly $1,392,852)
Developers, 2 yr 18
Released games 42
Announced 51
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 25% on the market, supply 55% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Economy
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Robots
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Economy; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Base Building, Building
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 1,549 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $60, median $2.7k, 1 in 4 over $8.7k, 1 in 20 over $1.3M.

3 in 10 developers made under $60. 9 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 51 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Economy with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorFair116 devs · median $22k · 125 announced
  2. + Football (Soccer)Fair21 devs · median $6.8k · 29 announced
  3. + ScienceFair39 devs · median $5.9k · 39 announced
  4. + MiningFair116 devs · median $5.0k · 173 announced
  5. + LootFair74 devs · median $4.6k · 114 announced
  6. + CollectathonFair125 devs · median $3.8k · 151 announced
  7. + God GameFair47 devs · median $2.8k · 58 announced
  8. + Auto BattlerFair59 devs · median $2.4k · 79 announced
  9. + IdlerFair441 devs · median $2.3k · 589 announced
  10. + IncrementalFair408 devs · median $2.2k · 612 announced
  11. + ArcadeFair199 devs · median $2.1k · 285 announced
  12. + Strategy RPGFair95 devs · median $2.0k · 128 announced

All 161 pairs on the Economy page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Automation Empire older $29.99 2,584 65% 78k $2.3M (exactly $2,324,825) DOG HOGGLER
ZeroSpace · EA $39.99 1,161 78% 35k $1.4M (exactly $1,392,852) Starlance Studios, Ironward
Good Company older $24.99 1,480 73% 44k $1.1M (exactly $1,109,556) Chasing Carrots
The Colonists older $24.99 1,052 85% 32k $789k (exactly $788,684) Codebyfire
Mech Mechanic Simulator older $19.99 538 61% 16k $323k (exactly $322,639) Polyslash
Crypto Mining Simulator older $4.99 1,419 65% 43k $212k (exactly $212,424) Satosha Nakamoti
Sky End Market · EA $18.99 164 96% 4.9k $93k (exactly $93,431) Andymente
Smart Factory Tycoon older $14.99 194 67% 5.8k $87k (exactly $87,242) Turquoise Revival Games
Trade Bots: A Technical Analysis Simulation older $11.99 100 63% 3.0k $36k (exactly $35,970) Cinq-Mars Media
Russian Village Simulator on Mars $15.99 58 77% 1.7k $28k (exactly $27,823) VD Games, PropilGames
Stellar Reach $19.99 34 79% 1.0k $20k (exactly $20,390) Stelleas
Terraforming Titans $5.00 58 94% 1.7k $8.7k (exactly $8,700) terraforming.titans
Die for the Economy! $7.99 21 100% 630 $5.0k (exactly $5,034) Tea Monster Games
Ekoh Beach $7.99 16 68% 480 $3.8k (exactly $3,835) Zenland Games
Bots & Mods $8.99 11 72% 330 $3.0k (exactly $2,967) Bit66
Built the End $6.99 13 100% 390 $2.7k (exactly $2,726) SOHwhatifiCAHnot
RoboDeal Simulator $3.99 13 92% 390 $1.6k (exactly $1,556) Dual Cluster Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.