Do I ship it?

GamesEconomyEconomy + Mythology

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mythological Economy game?

Economy + Mythology

Only 14 developers shipped a Mythological Economy game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Ascension, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 33 more are announced, ×6.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $19k, ×30 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.8k; 1 in 20 cleared $1.4M, ×2327 the market median. Revenue is up 6960% on the market; 33 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 29.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 6960% on the market, 33 announced, ×6.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Economy + Mythology
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $16k → $10k → $19k
Outcomes for Economy + Mythology: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $1.8k (exactly $1,799)
Median $19k (exactly $18,708)
Top 25% $322k (exactly $322,039)
Top 5% $1.5M (exactly $1,461,469)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 30
Announced 33
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $15.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 6960% on the market, supply 45% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Economy
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Mythology
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Economy
Price point
$15.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 66% positive over 5,787 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.8k, median $19k, 1 in 4 over $320k, 1 in 20 over $1.4M.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.8k. 6 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 33 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Economy with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorFair116 devs · median $22k · 125 announced
  2. + Football (Soccer)Fair21 devs · median $6.8k · 29 announced
  3. + ScienceFair39 devs · median $5.9k · 39 announced
  4. + MiningFair116 devs · median $5.0k · 173 announced
  5. + LootFair74 devs · median $4.6k · 114 announced
  6. + CollectathonFair125 devs · median $3.8k · 151 announced
  7. + God GameFair47 devs · median $2.8k · 58 announced
  8. + Auto BattlerFair59 devs · median $2.4k · 79 announced
  9. + IdlerFair441 devs · median $2.3k · 589 announced
  10. + IncrementalFair408 devs · median $2.2k · 612 announced
  11. + ArcadeFair199 devs · median $2.1k · 285 announced
  12. + Strategy RPGFair95 devs · median $2.0k · 128 announced

All 161 pairs on the Economy page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Land of the Vikings older $25.99 1,960 72% 59k $1.5M (exactly $1,528,212) Laps Games
Ascension · EA $19.99 2,437 60% 73k $1.5M (exactly $1,461,469) Element Game 微元游戏
Microcivilization $17.99 1,437 78% 43k $776k (exactly $775,549) Ondrej Homola
Zeus + Poseidon older $9.99 1,915 96% 57k $574k (exactly $573,926) Impressions Games
Celestial Empire · EA $19.99 709 89% 21k $425k (exactly $425,187) President Studio
Builders of Greece $19.99 537 54% 16k $322k (exactly $322,039) BLUM Entertainment, Strategy Labs
Builders of Egypt $19.99 461 31% 14k $276k (exactly $276,462) Strategy Labs
Diggles: The Myth of Fenris older $9.99 619 89% 19k $186k (exactly $185,514) Spieleentwicklungskombinat GmbH, Genera… (Spieleentwicklungskombinat GmbH, General Arcade)
Children of the Nile: Enhanced Edition older $7.99 431 85% 13k $103k (exactly $103,311) Tilted Mill Entertainment, Inc.
Goblin Camp $19.99 118 76% 3.5k $71k (exactly $70,765) Korppi Games Ltd
Realms of Madness $15.99 39 89% 1.2k $19k (exactly $18,708) Robin van der Horst
Creo God Simulator $9.99 35 68% 1.1k $10k (exactly $10,490) MKSM Design LLC
SOUL PARK $9.99 10 90% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) CLEDU
King's Legacy: A Crown Divided Collector's Edition $14.99 4 75% 120 $1.8k (exactly $1,799) Cateia Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.