Do I ship it?

GamesEconomyEconomy + Logic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Logic Economy game?

Economy + Logic

Of 109 developers who shipped a Logic Economy game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 135 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.1k, ×1.7 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $480; 1 in 20 cleared $330k, ×534 the market median. Revenue is up 30% on the market; 135 games are announced against 65 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 30% on the market, 135 announced, ×2.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Economy + Logic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 109
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.1k → $4.7k → $2.7k → $1.1k → $2.1k → $4.3k → $898 (still earning) → $1.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Economy + Logic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 109
Bottom 30% $478 (exactly $478)
Median $1.1k (exactly $1,079)
Top 25% $9.6k (exactly $9,590)
Top 5% $335k (exactly $335,232)
Developers, 2 yr 109
Released games 227
Announced 135
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 30% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Economy
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Economy, Logic; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Management, Simulation, Resource Management
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Relaxing
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 17,854 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $480, median $1.1k, 1 in 4 over $9.5k, 1 in 20 over $330k.

3 in 10 developers made under $480. 8 in 10 of the 54 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 135 games are announced against 65 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Economy with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorFair116 devs · median $22k · 125 announced
  2. + Football (Soccer)Fair21 devs · median $6.8k · 29 announced
  3. + ScienceFair39 devs · median $5.9k · 39 announced
  4. + MiningFair116 devs · median $5.0k · 173 announced
  5. + LootFair74 devs · median $4.6k · 114 announced
  6. + CollectathonFair125 devs · median $3.8k · 151 announced
  7. + God GameFair47 devs · median $2.8k · 58 announced
  8. + Auto BattlerFair59 devs · median $2.4k · 79 announced
  9. + IdlerFair441 devs · median $2.3k · 589 announced
  10. + IncrementalFair408 devs · median $2.2k · 612 announced
  11. + ArcadeFair199 devs · median $2.1k · 285 announced
  12. + Strategy RPGFair95 devs · median $2.0k · 128 announced

All 161 pairs on the Economy page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Airport CEO older $24.99 7,752 83% 233k $5.8M (exactly $5,811,674) Apog Labs
Mind Over Magic $24.99 4,314 86% 129k $3.2M (exactly $3,234,206) Sparkypants
The Farmer Was Replaced $9.99 9,116 95% 273k $2.7M (exactly $2,732,065) Timon Herzog
City Bus Manager older $29.99 2,405 90% 72k $2.2M (exactly $2,163,778) PeDePe GbR
Good Company older $24.99 1,480 73% 44k $1.1M (exactly $1,109,556) Chasing Carrots
Cafe Owner Simulator older $18.99 862 65% 26k $491k (exactly $491,081) Second Reality
Subway Builder $39.99 394 59% 12k $473k (exactly $472,682) Colin Miller, EJ Fox, Curran Kelleher,… (Colin Miller, EJ Fox, Curran Kelleher, Nate Maue, Alex Wohlbruck, Piero Maddaleni, Brooks Flannery)
Kaizen: A Factory Story $19.99 694 91% 21k $416k (exactly $416,192) Coincidence
City Tales - Medieval Era $22.99 543 90% 16k $375k (exactly $374,507) Irregular Shapes
Worldwide Rush $19.99 559 77% 17k $335k (exactly $335,232) Memel Games
Ultimate Theater Simulator $12.99 634 88% 19k $247k (exactly $247,070) RAKTWO Games, steelbox Games
Data Center $8.99 916 76% 27k $247k (exactly $247,045) Waseku
Tower Networking Inc. · EA $19.99 317 95% 9.5k $190k (exactly $190,105) Pocosia Studios
Bank Simulator · EA $14.99 367 70% 11k $165k (exactly $165,040) Strong Bow Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.