Do I ship it?

GamesEconomyEconomy + Interactive Fiction

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Interactive Fiction Economy game?

Economy + Interactive Fiction

Of 21 developers who shipped an Interactive Fiction Economy game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 49 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $540, ×0.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $420k, ×674 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 49 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 49 announced, ×2.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Economy + Interactive Fiction
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 21
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $46k → $36k → $9.7k → $17k → $20k → $359 (still earning) → $359 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Economy + Interactive Fiction: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 21
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $539 (exactly $539)
Top 25% $17k (exactly $16,566)
Top 5% $424k (exactly $423,580)
Developers, 2 yr 21
Released games 49
Announced 49
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 325% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Economy
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Interactive Fiction
effort 1 / 10 · high · prose plus a state machine

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Economy, Interactive Fiction; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Immersive Sim, Management
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 2D, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 5,749 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $540, 1 in 4 over $16k, 1 in 20 over $420k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 5 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 49 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Economy with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorFair116 devs · median $22k · 125 announced
  2. + Football (Soccer)Fair21 devs · median $6.8k · 29 announced
  3. + ScienceFair39 devs · median $5.9k · 39 announced
  4. + MiningFair116 devs · median $5.0k · 173 announced
  5. + LootFair74 devs · median $4.6k · 114 announced
  6. + CollectathonFair125 devs · median $3.8k · 151 announced
  7. + God GameFair47 devs · median $2.8k · 58 announced
  8. + Auto BattlerFair59 devs · median $2.4k · 79 announced
  9. + IdlerFair441 devs · median $2.3k · 589 announced
  10. + IncrementalFair408 devs · median $2.2k · 612 announced
  11. + ArcadeFair199 devs · median $2.1k · 285 announced
  12. + Strategy RPGFair95 devs · median $2.0k · 128 announced

All 161 pairs on the Economy page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Tavern Keeper 🍻 · EA $29.99 4,563 94% 137k $4.1M (exactly $4,105,331) Greenheart Games 💚
BLACKWOOD $24.99 565 46% 17k $424k (exactly $423,580) AttritoM7 Productions
Training Lucie older $9.99 324 90% 9.7k $97k (exactly $97,103) SecretGame
Lights and Shadow $9.99 216 76% 6.5k $65k (exactly $64,735) Jiahe Studio 茄盒互动
The Advisor - Episode 1: Royal Pain older $2.99 597 96% 18k $54k (exactly $53,551) Randumb Studios
The King's Dilemma: Chronicles older $14.99 102 70% 3.1k $46k (exactly $45,869) Big Trouble
CorpoNation: The Sorting Process older $12.99 117 71% 3.5k $46k (exactly $45,595) Canteen
Lunar Ascendant $14.99 86 44% 2.6k $39k (exactly $38,674) Darts Games
Tidal Therapy older $8.99 132 93% 4.0k $36k (exactly $35,600) veryOK
Hazeron Starship older $19.99 55 70% 1.7k $33k (exactly $32,984) Hazeron Freehold LLC
Pocket Boss $4.99 134 89% 4.0k $20k (exactly $20,060) Langfilm, Mario von Rickenbach
Human Fast Food $6.99 79 89% 2.4k $17k (exactly $16,566) Bricchi Games
Sunset Game Shop Shayou $9.99 41 90% 1.2k $12k (exactly $12,288) Lobstudio
Clicker Complex: Vira’s Private Stream $4.99 39 41% 1.2k $5.8k (exactly $5,838) PrincessComplex Games
Airport Manager Simulator 2026 · EA $7.99 18 16% 540 $4.3k (exactly $4,315) IORDER
Checkpoint Inc $4.27 8 75% 240 $1.0k (exactly $1,025) Punchers

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.