Do I ship it?

GamesEconomyEconomy + Hidden Object

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Hidden Object Economy game?

Economy + Hidden Object

Of 23 developers who shipped a Hidden Object Economy game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 44 more are announced, ×4.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $4.3k, ×6.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $390; 1 in 20 cleared $380k, ×608 the market median. Revenue is up 285% on the market; 44 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 6.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 285% on the market, 44 announced, ×4.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Economy + Hidden Object
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 23
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $27k → $3.3k → $6.1k → $2.1k → $7.2k → $12k (still earning) → $16k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Economy + Hidden Object: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 23
Bottom 30% $390 (exactly $390)
Median $4.3k (exactly $4,315)
Top 25% $16k (exactly $16,147)
Top 5% $382k (exactly $381,838)
Developers, 2 yr 23
Released games 58
Announced 44
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 285% on the market, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Economy
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Hidden Object
effort 2 / 10 · high · static scenes with click targets

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Economy, Hidden Object; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Life Sim, Crafting
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $15.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing, 3D, Family Friendly
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $15.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 69% positive over 4,728 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $390, median $4.3k, 1 in 4 over $16k, 1 in 20 over $380k.

3 in 10 developers made under $390. 8 in 10 of the 19 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 44 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Economy with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorFair116 devs · median $22k · 125 announced
  2. + Football (Soccer)Fair21 devs · median $6.8k · 29 announced
  3. + ScienceFair39 devs · median $5.9k · 39 announced
  4. + MiningFair116 devs · median $5.0k · 173 announced
  5. + LootFair74 devs · median $4.6k · 114 announced
  6. + CollectathonFair125 devs · median $3.8k · 151 announced
  7. + God GameFair47 devs · median $2.8k · 58 announced
  8. + Auto BattlerFair59 devs · median $2.4k · 79 announced
  9. + IdlerFair441 devs · median $2.3k · 589 announced
  10. + IncrementalFair408 devs · median $2.2k · 612 announced
  11. + ArcadeFair199 devs · median $2.1k · 285 announced
  12. + Strategy RPGFair95 devs · median $2.0k · 128 announced

All 161 pairs on the Economy page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Russian Village Simulator older $29.99 889 84% 27k $800k (exactly $799,833) VD Games, PropilGames
Lost But Found $6.99 2,316 71% 69k $486k (exactly $485,665) Rogue Duck Interactive
My Wife Threw Out My Card Collection (So I Bought a Dump to Find Them All) ⭐ $7.95 1,601 65% 48k $382k (exactly $381,838) Polnoch
Frozen Ship · EA $19.99 142 76% 4.3k $85k (exactly $85,157) Nionetix
Treasure Beach $9.99 271 81% 8.1k $81k (exactly $81,219) Rogue Duck Interactive
Hotel Business Simulator older $12.99 191 46% 5.7k $74k (exactly $74,433) Geekon
ShoppingMall: Manager Simulator $14.99 95 45% 2.9k $43k (exactly $42,722) Geekon
Russian Village Simulator on Mars $15.99 58 77% 1.7k $28k (exactly $27,823) VD Games, PropilGames
Internet Cafe Owner older $5.99 148 72% 4.4k $27k (exactly $26,596) GidAzGames
Portobugia older $7.99 84 83% 2.5k $20k (exactly $20,135) Bogland Studio
Dig for TCG Cards With Your Friends $6.99 77 44% 2.3k $16k (exactly $16,147) 3 Rare Devs
Baggage Handler Simulator $4.99 102 76% 3.1k $15k (exactly $15,269) Shleks, Maredy
Gun Store Simulator · EA $9.99 41 56% 1.2k $12k (exactly $12,288) Geekon
WEED SHOP SIMULATOR · EA $12.99 25 48% 750 $9.7k (exactly $9,742) Dragon Path

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.