Do I ship it?

GamesHero ShooterHero Shooter + Dystopian

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dystopian Hero Shooter?

Hero Shooter + Dystopian

Only 5 developers shipped a paid Dystopian Hero Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Kvark, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 4 in 10 of the games here are free to play and sit outside these figures. 20 more are announced, ×6.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 9 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $14k against a market of $1.3k. 20 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 10.7 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 20 announced, ×6.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Hero Shooter + Dystopian
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 5

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Hero Shooter + Dystopian: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 5
Bottom 30% $1.4k (exactly $1,435)
Median $14k (exactly $14,393)
Top 25% $173k (exactly $173,313)
Top 5% $276k (exactly $276,462)
Developers, 2 yr 5
Released games 29
Announced 20
Effort 9 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $19.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 41%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Hero Shooter
effort 9 / 10 · low · competitive netcode plus hero balance and content cadence
Dystopian
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
9 / 10 · studio only
Systems
Hero Shooter
Price point
$19.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $13.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 17,873 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.5k, median $14k, 1 in 4 over $170k, 1 in 20 over $270k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.5k. 20 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Hero Shooter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SimulationLong shot31 devs · median $478 · 28 announced
  2. + Bullet HellLong shot59 devs · median $449 · 56 announced
  3. + Boomer ShooterLong shot30 devs · median $210 · 21 announced
  4. + MedievalLong shot10 devs · median $150 · 12 announced
  5. + Online Co-OpPoor odds20 devs · median $7.2k · 51 announced
  6. + SuperheroPoor odds6 devs · median $6.3k · 11 announced
  7. + Battle RoyalePoor odds9 devs · median $3.6k · 29 announced
  8. + Co-opPoor odds22 devs · median $3.6k · 53 announced
  9. + PvPPoor odds27 devs · median $2.3k · 127 announced
  10. + PlatformerPoor odds21 devs · median $2.2k · 33 announced
  11. + Character CustomizationPoor odds25 devs · median $2.1k · 68 announced
  12. + PhysicsPoor odds27 devs · median $1.6k · 34 announced

All 87 pairs on the Hero Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Crysis 2 Remastered older $29.99 9,034 89% 271k $8.1M (exactly $8,127,890) Crytek, Saber Interactive
Crysis 3 Remastered older $29.99 7,731 88% 232k $7.0M (exactly $6,955,581) Crytek, Saber Interactive
Kvark $19.99 461 86% 14k $276k (exactly $276,462) Latest Past, Perun Creative
The Living Remain $19.99 289 79% 8.7k $173k (exactly $173,313) Five Finger Studios
Mega City Force older $14.99 289 76% 8.7k $130k (exactly $129,963) Undreamed Games
HoverGrease 2 $19.99 24 83% 720 $14k (exactly $14,393) Altergaze
Timewell: Trail of Celestes older $17.99 20 85% 600 $11k (exactly $10,794) OZBER CIN
BLANK SPACE older $14.99 7 57% 210 $3.1k (exactly $3,148) Michigames
Bullet Head $2.99 16 62% 480 $1.4k (exactly $1,435) Warkuda
Monster Master · EA older $13.99 2 0% 60 $839 (exactly $839) Flatfish Games
Wave Function 1.0 $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Usual Game Developer

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.