Do I ship it?

GamesDungeon CrawlerDungeon Crawler + Dice

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dice Dungeon Crawler?

Dungeon Crawler + Dice

Of 24 developers who shipped a Dice Dungeon Crawler in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 32 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $5.1k, ×11 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $1.2k. Revenue is up 45% on the market; 32 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 10.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 45% on the market, 32 announced, ×1.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Dungeon Crawler + Dice
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 24
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $97k → $2.6k (still earning) → $359 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Dungeon Crawler + Dice: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 24
Bottom 30% $1.2k (exactly $1,199)
Median $5.1k (exactly $5,095)
Top 25% $97k (exactly $96,803)
Top 5% $570k (exactly $569,770)
Developers, 2 yr 24
Released games 28
Announced 32
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 45% on the market, supply 200% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Dungeon Crawler
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Dice
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Dungeon Crawler, Dice; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Deckbuilding, Roguelike, Strategy
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 4,678 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.2k, median $5.1k, 1 in 4 over $96k, 1 in 20 over $560k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.2k. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 32 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Dungeon Crawler with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Time ManagementFair35 devs · median $7.0k · 44 announced
  2. + GamblingFair16 devs · median $7.0k · 17 announced
  3. + Artificial IntelligenceFair29 devs · median $2.3k · 38 announced
  4. + Local Co-OpFair49 devs · median $1.8k · 60 announced
  5. + ZombiesFair65 devs · median $1.0k · 74 announced
  6. + Word GameFair12 devs · median $899 · 15 announced
  7. + ThrillerFair45 devs · median $716 · 46 announced
  8. + Walking SimulatorFair59 devs · median $479 · 62 announced
  9. + Score AttackFair29 devs · median $479 · 33 announced
  10. + MMORPGPoor odds10 devs · median $144k · 80 announced
  11. + DwarvesPoor odds8 devs · median $55k · 30 announced
  12. + Dating SimPoor odds17 devs · median $32k · 42 announced

All 175 pairs on the Dungeon Crawler page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Dicey Dungeons older $14.99 10,444 88% 313k $4.7M (exactly $4,696,667) Terry Cavanagh
Dice & Fold older $12.99 3,491 83% 105k $1.4M (exactly $1,360,443) Tinymice Entertainment
Demeo x Dungeons & Dragons: Battlemarked $29.99 1,235 82% 37k $1.1M (exactly $1,111,130) Resolution Games
Rune Dice $14.99 1,267 79% 38k $570k (exactly $569,770) Smart Raven Studio
Dice A Million $12.99 1,075 90% 32k $419k (exactly $418,928) countlessnights
Dice Legends $19.99 252 76% 7.6k $151k (exactly $151,124) Big Bite Games, Ad Luna
Die For The Lich · EA $11.99 275 78% 8.3k $99k (exactly $98,918) Monovoid
DOG WITCH $9.99 323 89% 9.7k $97k (exactly $96,803) Heckmouse
Luck & Loot $7.99 138 90% 4.1k $33k (exactly $33,079) SMARTcreative
Dice 'n Goblins $13.99 55 90% 1.7k $23k (exactly $23,084) Tsukumogami Software
Ribbit Rogue $9.99 35 91% 1.1k $10k (exactly $10,490) King Krab Games
Set a Watch: Digital Edition $14.99 23 69% 690 $10k (exactly $10,343) Acram Digital

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.