Do I ship it?

Games › Roguelike › Roguelike + Dinosaurs

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dinosaur Roguelike?

Roguelike + Dinosaurs

Only 13 developers shipped a Dinosaur Roguelike in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Dinotica, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $6.3k, ×10 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $480; 1 in 20 cleared $400k, ×641 the market median. Revenue is down 80% on the market; 17 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 10.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 80% on the market, 17 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Roguelike + Dinosaurs
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.5k → $478 → $6.3k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Roguelike + Dinosaurs: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $478 (exactly $478)
Median $6.3k (exactly $6,298)
Top 25% $64k (exactly $64,152)
Top 5% $403k (exactly $402,616)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 28
Announced 17
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 125% more developers than the period before.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Roguelike
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Dinosaurs
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Roguelike; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action Roguelike, Action, Action-Adventure
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Cute, Isometric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 1,531 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $480, median $6.3k, 1 in 4 over $64k, 1 in 20 over $400k.

3 in 10 developers made under $480. 17 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Roguelike with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + JRPGFair85 devs · median $5.2k · 103 announced
  2. + 6DOFFair15 devs · median $4.7k · 7 announced
  3. + Grand StrategyFair18 devs · median $3.3k · 22 announced
  4. + VampiresFair59 devs · median $3.1k · 58 announced
  5. + DogsFair30 devs · median $1.9k · 17 announced
  6. + Artificial IntelligenceFair60 devs · median $1.8k · 85 announced
  7. + SuperheroFair12 devs · median $1.1k · 17 announced
  8. + IdlerFair160 devs · median $1.0k · 206 announced
  9. + ArcadeFair841 devs · median $959 · 1,066 announced
  10. + Walking SimulatorFair29 devs · median $718 · 28 announced
  11. + 2D PlatformerFair264 devs · median $599 · 320 announced
  12. + Traditional RoguelikeFair247 devs · median $599 · 314 announced

All 231 pairs on the Roguelike page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Curious Expedition 2 2021 · $2.3M Curious Expedition 2016 · $1.8M Dinotica 2026 · $403k Dino Path Trail 2025 · $89k Repterra 2026 · $73k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Curious Expedition 2 older $19.99 3,861 88% 116k $2.3M (exactly $2,315,442) Maschinen-Mensch
Curious Expedition older $14.99 3,951 91% 119k $1.8M (exactly $1,776,765) Maschinen-Mensch
Dinotica $17.99 746 86% 22k $403k (exactly $402,616) XA Studio
Dino Path Trail $14.99 197 76% 5.9k $89k (exactly $88,591) Void Pointer
Repterra $19.99 122 90% 3.7k $73k (exactly $73,163) Chute Apps
Struggle F.O $8.80 243 67% 7.3k $64k (exactly $64,152) Espada Inc.
Jet Kave Adventure older $14.99 122 85% 3.7k $55k (exactly $54,863) 7Levels
Nocan's Quest: Sex Gold Glory $9.99 167 69% 5.0k $50k (exactly $50,050) Kinky Business Group
Time Survivors older $4.99 272 61% 8.2k $41k (exactly $40,718) Lunar Chili
Bubble Bobble Sugar Dungeons Boosted $39.99 17 58% 510 $20k (exactly $20,395) TAITO CORP.
Reptilian Rising $29.99 7 100% 210 $6.3k (exactly $6,298) Gregarious Games, Robot Circus, Hyper L… (Gregarious Games, Robot Circus, Hyper Luminal Games)
Never Ending Beyond $9.99 20 80% 600 $6.0k (exactly $5,994) One More Dream Studios
Anzu $4.99 4 25% 120 $599 (exactly $599) Was Running Studio
Eon of Life $1.99 8 87% 240 $478 (exactly $478) PaleoEvo Games, Miguel Andújar Navarro

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.