Do I ship it?

Games › Tactical › Tactical + Dice

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dice Tactical game?

Tactical + Dice

Of 20 developers who shipped a Dice Tactical game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 35 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.2k, ×3.4 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $90; 1 in 20 cleared $71k, ×114 the market median. Revenue is down 15% on the market; 35 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 15% on the market, 35 announced, ×3.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tactical + Dice
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 20
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.2k → $2.4k → $6.6k (still earning) → $899 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Tactical + Dice: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 20
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $2.2k (exactly $2,159)
Top 25% $12k (exactly $11,677)
Top 5% $71k (exactly $71,349)
Developers, 2 yr 20
Released games 27
Announced 35
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 15% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tactical
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Dice
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Tactical, Dice; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Roguelike, Roguelite
Price point
$8.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 572 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $2.2k, 1 in 4 over $11k, 1 in 20 over $71k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. All of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 35 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tactical with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Football (American)Strong odds12 devs · median $5.8k · 8 announced
  2. + Mystery DungeonStrong odds20 devs · median $2.5k · 15 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair13 devs · median $11k · 9 announced
  4. + 6DOFFair14 devs · median $2.4k · 19 announced
  5. + Word GameFair23 devs · median $1.8k · 12 announced
  6. + TypingFair16 devs · median $1.2k · 9 announced
  7. + DwarvesFair7 devs · median $1.0k · 10 announced
  8. + Traditional RoguelikeFair38 devs · median $987 · 57 announced
  9. + Dynamic NarrationFair13 devs · median $899 · 16 announced
  10. + Farming SimFair12 devs · median $897 · 10 announced
  11. + SolitaireFair25 devs · median $479 · 22 announced
  12. + LGBTQ+Fair20 devs · median $479 · 21 announced

All 226 pairs on the Tactical page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Gordian Quest 2022 · $3.2M Heroes of Normandie 2015 · $191k Circadian Dice 2022 · $99k Archon Soul 2026 · $71k Flint: Treasure of Oblivion 2024 · $69k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Gordian Quest older $19.99 5,259 88% 158k $3.2M (exactly $3,153,822) Mixed Realms Pte Ltd, Swag Soft Holding… (Mixed Realms Pte Ltd, Swag Soft Holdings Pte Ltd)
Heroes of Normandie older $29.99 212 72% 6.4k $191k (exactly $190,736) Cat Rabbit
Circadian Dice older $5.99 553 94% 17k $99k (exactly $99,374) Shuffle Up Games
Archon Soul $13.99 170 88% 5.1k $71k (exactly $71,349) PolyGryph
Flint: Treasure of Oblivion $24.99 92 51% 2.8k $69k (exactly $68,972) Savage Level
Last Days of Old Earth older $24.99 31 38% 930 $23k (exactly $23,241) Auroch Digital
DAICE $14.99 49 95% 1.5k $22k (exactly $22,035) Aeterna Ludi
Dicey Bugs $9.99 40 100% 1.2k $12k (exactly $11,988) ProdigalSon Games
Dice Dice Baby $4.99 78 88% 2.3k $12k (exactly $11,677) Nugget Games Studio
Doodle Dice Monsters $5.99 60 75% 1.8k $11k (exactly $10,782) AuWiMo, Mighty Jungle Games
Boogey Hunters $6.99 46 84% 1.4k $9.6k (exactly $9,646) Keep The Engine Games
Payroll $12.99 17 100% 510 $6.6k (exactly $6,625) Thyme
Dicey Words $4.99 16 93% 480 $2.4k (exactly $2,395) _Taralis
Tesserarii: The Dice Rolling Roguelike $17.99 4 75% 120 $2.2k (exactly $2,159) Dylan Van Beek

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.