Do I ship it?

GamesDestructionDestruction + Walking Simulator

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Walking Simulator Destruction game?

Destruction + Walking Simulator

Only 8 developers shipped a Walking Simulator Destruction game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, A Game About Breaking Pots, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 19 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.4k, ×3.8 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $270; 1 in 20 cleared $4.8k, ×7.7 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 19 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.8 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 19 announced, ×3.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Destruction + Walking Simulator
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 8

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Destruction + Walking Simulator: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 8
Bottom 30% $270 (exactly $270)
Median $2.4k (exactly $2,398)
Top 25% $3.9k (exactly $3,896)
Top 5% $4.9k (exactly $4,852)
Developers, 2 yr 8
Released games 30
Announced 19
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 200% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 33%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Destruction
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Walking Simulator
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Destruction, Walking Simulator
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 71% positive over 17,610 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $270, median $2.4k, 1 in 4 over $3.8k, 1 in 20 over $4.8k.

3 in 10 developers made under $270. 19 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Destruction with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Space SimFair14 devs · median $3.7k · 22 announced
  2. + ModernFair26 devs · median $1.6k · 28 announced
  3. + God GameFair19 devs · median $899 · 20 announced
  4. + Hidden ObjectFair9 devs · median $719 · 14 announced
  5. + Hack and SlashPoor odds19 devs · median $43k · 57 announced
  6. + HistoricalPoor odds15 devs · median $26k · 22 announced
  7. + CapitalismPoor odds17 devs · median $15k · 46 announced
  8. + Online Co-OpPoor odds37 devs · median $13k · 102 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds50 devs · median $11k · 113 announced
  10. + Automobile SimPoor odds22 devs · median $9.0k · 44 announced
  11. + ManagementPoor odds36 devs · median $6.1k · 129 announced
  12. + AutomationPoor odds22 devs · median $6.0k · 46 announced

All 139 pairs on the Destruction page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
LEGO® Worlds older $29.99 12,487 77% 375k $11M (exactly $11,234,554) TT Games, Traveller's Tales
Plane Mechanic Simulator older $11.99 1,561 56% 47k $561k (exactly $561,492) Cobble Games, Disaster Studio
Inner Chains older $19.99 355 48% 11k $213k (exactly $212,893) Telepaths Tree
VERGE:Lost chapter older $0.99 2,874 52% 86k $85k (exactly $85,358) GDNomaD
Ragdoll: Fall Simulator older $9.99 82 76% 2.5k $25k (exactly $24,575) Andreev Worlds, Gamesforfarm
Smashing time older $13.99 32 40% 960 $13k (exactly $13,430) Net-assembly
FortressCraft : Chapter 1 older $9.99 36 94% 1.1k $11k (exactly $10,789) ProjectorGames
Super-Patriota Simulator older $1.99 140 99% 4.2k $8.4k (exactly $8,358) Paranauê Ninja Games, Philosophical Sch… (Paranauê Ninja Games, Philosophical School of Games)
A Game About Breaking Pots $5.99 27 100% 810 $4.9k (exactly $4,852) Glenn Verheij
Paper Flight - Speed Rush older $9.99 16 93% 480 $4.8k (exactly $4,795) EpiXR Games UG
Ragdoll Playground $9.99 13 69% 390 $3.9k (exactly $3,896) Paphnutius
Chopping Together🌲 $6.99 13 69% 390 $2.7k (exactly $2,726) Limey Studio
Lobsterpunk $9.99 8 100% 240 $2.4k (exactly $2,398) Carter Diaz de Leon
Meteor Expedition · EA $7.99 2 50% 60 $479 (exactly $479) GQ
Vanishing In The Island Halphéra $8.99 1 100% 30 $270 (exactly $270) Soghoxal
Alpha Trashman Antoine $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Ubihard Games
Rush or Die $1.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) 朱莹

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.