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Should I ship a Walking Simulator Destruction game?
Destruction + Walking Simulator
Only 8 developers shipped a Walking Simulator Destruction game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, A Game About Breaking Pots, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 19 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $2.4k, ×3.8 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $270; 1 in 20 cleared $4.8k, ×7.7 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 19 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $270 (exactly $270) |
|---|---|
| Median | $2.4k (exactly $2,398) |
| Top 25% | $3.9k (exactly $3,896) |
| Top 5% | $4.9k (exactly $4,852) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 8 |
| Released games | 30 |
| Announced | 19 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 200% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 33%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Destruction
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Walking Simulator
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Destruction, Walking Simulator
- Price point
- $7.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.
The top 10 games average 71% positive over 17,610 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $270. 19 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Destruction with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Space SimFair
- + ModernFair
- + God GameFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + Hack and SlashPoor odds
- + HistoricalPoor odds
- + CapitalismPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + Automobile SimPoor odds
- + ManagementPoor odds
- + AutomationPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | LEGO® Worlds | older | $29.99 | 12,487 77% | 375k | $11M (exactly $11,234,554) | TT Games, Traveller's Tales |
| | Plane Mechanic Simulator | older | $11.99 | 1,561 56% | 47k | $561k (exactly $561,492) | Cobble Games, Disaster Studio |
| | Inner Chains | older | $19.99 | 355 48% | 11k | $213k (exactly $212,893) | Telepaths Tree |
| | VERGE:Lost chapter | older | $0.99 | 2,874 52% | 86k | $85k (exactly $85,358) | GDNomaD |
| | Ragdoll: Fall Simulator | older | $9.99 | 82 76% | 2.5k | $25k (exactly $24,575) | Andreev Worlds, Gamesforfarm |
| | Smashing time | older | $13.99 | 32 40% | 960 | $13k (exactly $13,430) | Net-assembly |
| | FortressCraft : Chapter 1 | older | $9.99 | 36 94% | 1.1k | $11k (exactly $10,789) | ProjectorGames |
| | Super-Patriota Simulator | older | $1.99 | 140 99% | 4.2k | $8.4k (exactly $8,358) | Paranauê Ninja Games, Philosophical Sch… (Paranauê Ninja Games, Philosophical School of Games) |
| | A Game About Breaking Pots | $5.99 | 27 100% | 810 | $4.9k (exactly $4,852) | Glenn Verheij | |
| | Paper Flight - Speed Rush | older | $9.99 | 16 93% | 480 | $4.8k (exactly $4,795) | EpiXR Games UG |
| | Ragdoll Playground | $9.99 | 13 69% | 390 | $3.9k (exactly $3,896) | Paphnutius | |
| | Chopping Together🌲 | $6.99 | 13 69% | 390 | $2.7k (exactly $2,726) | Limey Studio | |
| | Lobsterpunk | $9.99 | 8 100% | 240 | $2.4k (exactly $2,398) | Carter Diaz de Leon | |
| | Meteor Expedition | · EA | $7.99 | 2 50% | 60 | $479 (exactly $479) | GQ |
| | Vanishing In The Island Halphéra | $8.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $270 (exactly $270) | Soghoxal | |
| | Alpha Trashman Antoine | $0.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Ubihard Games | |
| | Rush or Die | $1.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | 朱莹 |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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