Do I ship it?

GamesDestructionDestruction + Modern

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Modern-Day Destruction game?

Destruction + Modern

Of 26 developers who shipped a Modern-Day Destruction game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 28 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.6k, ×2.5 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $89. Revenue is up 245% on the market; 28 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 245% on the market, 28 announced, ×1.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Destruction + Modern
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 26
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $269 → $11k → $3.8k → $120 (still earning) → $1.6k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Destruction + Modern: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 26
Bottom 30% $89 (exactly $89)
Median $1.6k (exactly $1,559)
Top 25% $43k (exactly $42,636)
Top 5% $70M (exactly $69,882,525)
Developers, 2 yr 26
Released games 61
Announced 28
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 245% on the market, supply 170% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Destruction
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Modern
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Destruction; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Co-op, PvP
Price point
$8.99 typical · top 25% priced $39.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Realistic, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 67% positive over 376,412 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $89, median $1.6k, 1 in 4 over $42k, 1 in 20 over $69M.

3 in 10 developers made under $89. 7 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 28 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Destruction with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Space SimFair14 devs · median $3.7k · 22 announced
  2. + God GameFair19 devs · median $899 · 20 announced
  3. + Hidden ObjectFair9 devs · median $719 · 14 announced
  4. + Hack and SlashPoor odds19 devs · median $43k · 57 announced
  5. + HistoricalPoor odds15 devs · median $26k · 22 announced
  6. + CapitalismPoor odds17 devs · median $15k · 46 announced
  7. + Online Co-OpPoor odds37 devs · median $13k · 102 announced
  8. + Co-opPoor odds50 devs · median $11k · 113 announced
  9. + Automobile SimPoor odds22 devs · median $9.0k · 44 announced
  10. + ManagementPoor odds36 devs · median $6.1k · 129 announced
  11. + AutomationPoor odds22 devs · median $6.0k · 46 announced
  12. + CraftingPoor odds36 devs · median $4.9k · 101 announced

All 139 pairs on the Destruction page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Battlefield™ 6 $69.99 295,442 63% 8.9M $620M (exactly $620,339,567) Battlefield Studios
Battlefield™ 2042 older $59.99 260,308 49% 7.8M $468M (exactly $468,476,308) DICE
WARDOGS · EA $39.99 58,250 81% 1.7M $70M (exactly $69,882,525) BULKHEAD
RoadCraft $39.99 13,527 74% 406k $16M (exactly $16,228,342) Saber Interactive
Diablo II: Resurrected – Infernal Edition $39.99 5,855 86% 176k $7.0M (exactly $7,024,244) Blizzard Entertainment, Inc.
Gunner, HEAT, PC! · EA older $29.99 7,603 91% 228k $6.8M (exactly $6,840,419) Radian Simulations LLC
Forefront $27.99 1,913 84% 57k $1.6M (exactly $1,606,346) Triangle Factory
ICBM: Escalation $29.99 1,248 86% 37k $1.1M (exactly $1,122,826) SoftWarWare
Instruments of Destruction older $19.99 1,429 91% 43k $857k (exactly $856,971) Radiangames
First Strike older $11.99 1,916 75% 57k $689k (exactly $689,185) Blindflug Studios AG
Red Chaos - The Strict Order · EA $17.99 79 81% 2.4k $43k (exactly $42,636) Squarecut Games
Speed Demons 2 $14.99 26 92% 780 $12k (exactly $11,692) Radiangames
Big Mutha Truckers $8.99 39 92% 1.2k $11k (exactly $10,518) Eutechnyx
Maelstrom: The Battle for Earth Begins Enhanced $6.99 33 75% 990 $6.9k (exactly $6,920) KDV Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.