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Should I ship a Twin Stick Shooter Destruction game?
Destruction + Twin Stick Shooter
Only 19 developers shipped a Twin Stick Shooter Destruction game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Brigador Killers, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 39 more are announced, ×3.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $3.0k, ×4.8 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $420k, ×683 the market median. Revenue is down 25% on the market; 39 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $239 (exactly $239) |
|---|---|
| Median | $3.0k (exactly $2,992) |
| Top 25% | $52k (exactly $52,295) |
| Top 5% | $429k (exactly $428,828) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 19 |
| Released games | 56 |
| Announced | 39 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 25% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Destruction
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Twin Stick Shooter
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Destruction, Twin Stick Shooter; all of the top 25% also carry Action, Shooter, Top-Down Shooter
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Top-Down, Colorful, 2D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 89% positive over 3,964 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $240. 8 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 39 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.9 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Destruction with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Space SimFair
- + ModernFair
- + God GameFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + Hack and SlashPoor odds
- + HistoricalPoor odds
- + CapitalismPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + Automobile SimPoor odds
- + ManagementPoor odds
- + AutomationPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Brigador: Up-Armored Edition | older | $24.99 | 4,580 93% | 137k | $3.4M (exactly $3,433,626) | Stellar Jockeys, Gausswerks |
| | X-Morph: Defense | older | $19.99 | 3,272 90% | 98k | $2.0M (exactly $1,962,218) | EXOR Studios |
| | Chippy | older | $14.99 | 1,089 90% | 33k | $490k (exactly $489,723) | Facepunch Studios |
| | Splatter - Zombiecalypse Now | older | $6.99 | 2,098 89% | 63k | $440k (exactly $439,951) | Dreamworlds |
| | Brigador Killers | · EA | $24.99 | 572 69% | 17k | $429k (exactly $428,828) | Stellar Jockeys, Gausswerks |
| | Sektori | $14.99 | 897 96% | 27k | $403k (exactly $403,381) | Kimmo Lahtinen | |
| | Tesla vs Lovecraft | older | $14.99 | 851 89% | 26k | $383k (exactly $382,695) | 10tons Ltd |
| | Galactic Glitch | $12.99 | 920 89% | 28k | $359k (exactly $358,524) | Crunchy Leaf Games | |
| | Doomsday Hunters | older | $15.99 | 703 89% | 21k | $337k (exactly $337,229) | Moregames |
| | Mech Havoc | · EA | $9.99 | 813 96% | 24k | $244k (exactly $243,656) | Mid Development |
| | Nebulock | $2.99 | 583 86% | 17k | $52k (exactly $52,295) | LostVolBytes | |
| | Son of a Gun | $9.99 | 80 78% | 2.4k | $24k (exactly $23,976) | Crank Goblin | |
| | Galactic Thunderdome | $9.99 | 35 100% | 1.1k | $10k (exactly $10,490) | Pansimula | |
| | KILLBEAT | $9.99 | 24 100% | 720 | $7.2k (exactly $7,193) | Kalma Games | |
| | Bumper Blitz TD | $14.99 | 15 86% | 450 | $6.7k (exactly $6,746) | Ragnarok Studios | |
| | DOWNMOUSE | $3.99 | 25 92% | 750 | $3.0k (exactly $2,992) | WobblyHandStudio |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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