Do I ship it?

Games › Destruction › Destruction + Turn-Based Tactics

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Turn-Based Tactics Destruction game?

Destruction + Turn-Based Tactics

Only 4 developers shipped a Turn-Based Tactics Destruction game in the last 2 years. Over 4 years, 16 did: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 33 more are announced, ×11 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $0 against a market of $630. 33 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.0 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 33 announced, ×11 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Destruction + Turn-Based Tactics
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 4 yr n = 16

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Destruction + Turn-Based Tactics: Plate 1 · outcomes, 4 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $1.2k (exactly $1,194)
Top 25% $4.2k (exactly $4,198)
Top 5% $535k (exactly $535,066)
Developers, 4 yr 16
Released games 31
Announced 33
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 200% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Destruction
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Turn-Based Tactics
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Destruction, Turn-Based Tactics
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 4 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 4,936 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 4 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $1.2k, 1 in 4 over $4.1k, 1 in 20 over $530k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 33 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×11 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Destruction with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Space SimFair14 devs · median $3.7k · 22 announced
  2. + ModernFair26 devs · median $1.6k · 28 announced
  3. + God GameFair19 devs · median $899 · 20 announced
  4. + Hidden ObjectFair9 devs · median $719 · 14 announced
  5. + Hack and SlashPoor odds19 devs · median $43k · 57 announced
  6. + HistoricalPoor odds15 devs · median $26k · 22 announced
  7. + CapitalismPoor odds17 devs · median $15k · 46 announced
  8. + Online Co-OpPoor odds37 devs · median $13k · 102 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds50 devs · median $11k · 113 announced
  10. + Automobile SimPoor odds22 devs · median $9.0k · 44 announced
  11. + ManagementPoor odds36 devs · median $6.1k · 129 announced
  12. + AutomationPoor odds22 devs · median $6.0k · 46 announced

All 139 pairs on the Destruction page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Spirit Island 2020 · $1.2M Capes 2024 · $535k Beach Invasion 1944 2022 · $311k Hasbro's BATTLESHIP 2018 · $310k Silent Storm Gold Edition 2013 · $289k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Spirit Island older $24.99 1,545 91% 46k $1.2M (exactly $1,158,286) Handelabra Games Inc.
Capes older $39.99 446 67% 13k $535k (exactly $535,066) Spitfire Interactive
Beach Invasion 1944 older $9.99 1,038 84% 31k $311k (exactly $311,089) AIx2 Games
Hasbro's BATTLESHIP older $12.49 828 82% 25k $310k (exactly $310,252) Marmalade Game Studio Ltd
Silent Storm Gold Edition older $9.99 963 88% 29k $289k (exactly $288,611) Nival
天下統一SSB older $69.99 9 44% 270 $19k (exactly $18,897) Systemsoft beta, Inc.
Gem Wizards Tactics older $9.99 50 76% 1.5k $15k (exactly $14,985) Keith Burgun Games
Dungeon Crusher Kiritan · EA older $11.99 35 91% 1.1k $13k (exactly $12,590) Akamurasaki Games
Tower Fall older $9.99 15 86% 450 $4.5k (exactly $4,496) DiaMMax
Freak☆Ninja Wars older $19.99 7 42% 210 $4.2k (exactly $4,198) Fox .Inc
Castle Crumble $6.99 12 91% 360 $2.5k (exactly $2,516) Orbital Knight
KaijuStory $7.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) SneakySquid
Gorilla vs Yeti $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Riaan
Chess Flicks $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) JDL

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.