Do I ship it?

GamesDestructionDestruction + Tanks

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Tanks Destruction game?

Destruction + Tanks

Only 19 developers shipped a Tanks Destruction game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Call to Arms: Panzer Elite, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 44 more are announced, ×3.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360 in the last 2 years and $450 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 12 developers shipped in the last year and 44 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 65% on the market, 44 announced, ×3.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Destruction + Tanks
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 19
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.8k → $449 → $32k → $3.6k → $150 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Destruction + Tanks: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 19
Bottom 30% $30 (exactly $30)
Median $358 (exactly $358)
Top 25% $32k (exactly $32,384)
Top 5% $1.7M (exactly $1,733,722)
Developers, 2 yr 19
Released games 66
Announced 44
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 65% on the market, supply 70% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Destruction
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Tanks
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Destruction, Tanks; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Combat, Shooter
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 78% positive over 5,122 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $360, 1 in 4 over $32k, 1 in 20 over $1.7M.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 8 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 44 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Destruction with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Space SimFair14 devs · median $3.7k · 22 announced
  2. + ModernFair26 devs · median $1.6k · 28 announced
  3. + God GameFair19 devs · median $899 · 20 announced
  4. + Hidden ObjectFair9 devs · median $719 · 14 announced
  5. + Hack and SlashPoor odds19 devs · median $43k · 57 announced
  6. + HistoricalPoor odds15 devs · median $26k · 22 announced
  7. + CapitalismPoor odds17 devs · median $15k · 46 announced
  8. + Online Co-OpPoor odds37 devs · median $13k · 102 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds50 devs · median $11k · 113 announced
  10. + Automobile SimPoor odds22 devs · median $9.0k · 44 announced
  11. + ManagementPoor odds36 devs · median $6.1k · 129 announced
  12. + AutomationPoor odds22 devs · median $6.0k · 46 announced

All 139 pairs on the Destruction page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Battlefield™ 1 older $39.99 200,661 86% 6.0M $241M (exactly $240,733,002) DICE
Men of War: Assault Squad 2 older $29.99 35,744 91% 1.1M $32M (exactly $32,158,877) Digitalmindsoft
Gunner, HEAT, PC! · EA older $29.99 7,603 91% 228k $6.8M (exactly $6,840,419) Radian Simulations LLC
Call to Arms: Panzer Elite · EA $29.99 1,927 69% 58k $1.7M (exactly $1,733,722) Digitalmindsoft
Men of War: Assault Squad older $9.99 4,029 87% 121k $1.2M (exactly $1,207,491) Digitalmindsoft
Instruments of Destruction older $19.99 1,429 91% 43k $857k (exactly $856,971) Radiangames
Vietnam War · EA $14.99 1,704 84% 51k $766k (exactly $766,289) Thorium Game Lab
Brigador Killers · EA $24.99 572 69% 17k $429k (exactly $428,828) Stellar Jockeys, Gausswerks
Armored Battle Crew [World War 1] - Tank Warfare and Crew Management Simulator · EA older $19.99 635 32% 19k $381k (exactly $380,809) Gattai Games
Beach Invasion 1944 older $9.99 1,038 84% 31k $311k (exactly $311,089) AIx2 Games
Mech Havoc · EA $9.99 813 96% 24k $244k (exactly $243,656) Mid Development
Battlefield Commander WWII · EA $19.99 54 70% 1.6k $32k (exactly $32,384) Sword of Steel
Bridge Hunter · EA $9.99 12 100% 360 $3.6k (exactly $3,596) Double Light
ULTIMATE ARMORED TURBODRIFTER ~ SaGa Chapter 2 ~【TANK AUTHORITY WOLFRAM】 $4.99 16 100% 480 $2.4k (exactly $2,395) The Dark Union
FEBA Gunship R $2.99 9 100% 270 $807 (exactly $807) rucsgames
Anti Terrorist Shooting Game $1.49 9 77% 270 $402 (exactly $402) Squad Cell
Paper Cannon $1.99 6 33% 180 $358 (exactly $358) Enter the Game Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.