Do I ship it?

GamesDestructionDestruction + Swordplay

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Swordplay Destruction game?

Destruction + Swordplay

Only 6 developers shipped a Swordplay Destruction game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Clone Drone in the Hyperdome, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 23 more are announced, ×12 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 2 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $4.9k against a market of $630. 23 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 7.7 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 23 announced, ×12 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Destruction + Swordplay
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 6

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Destruction + Swordplay: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 6
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $4.9k (exactly $4,852)
Top 25% $9.0k (exactly $8,992)
Top 5% $628k (exactly $628,486)
Developers, 2 yr 6
Released games 25
Announced 23
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 50% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Destruction
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Swordplay
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Destruction, Swordplay
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 6,344 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $4.9k, 1 in 4 over $8.9k, 1 in 20 over $620k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 23 games are announced against 2 developers who shipped in the last year, ×12 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Destruction with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Space SimFair14 devs · median $3.7k · 22 announced
  2. + ModernFair26 devs · median $1.6k · 28 announced
  3. + God GameFair19 devs · median $899 · 20 announced
  4. + Hidden ObjectFair9 devs · median $719 · 14 announced
  5. + Hack and SlashPoor odds19 devs · median $43k · 57 announced
  6. + HistoricalPoor odds15 devs · median $26k · 22 announced
  7. + CapitalismPoor odds17 devs · median $15k · 46 announced
  8. + Online Co-OpPoor odds37 devs · median $13k · 102 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds50 devs · median $11k · 113 announced
  10. + Automobile SimPoor odds22 devs · median $9.0k · 44 announced
  11. + ManagementPoor odds36 devs · median $6.1k · 129 announced
  12. + AutomationPoor odds22 devs · median $6.0k · 46 announced

All 139 pairs on the Destruction page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Mitsurugi Kamui Hikae older $9.99 2,747 81% 82k $823k (exactly $823,276) Zenith Blue
Clone Drone in the Hyperdome $19.99 1,048 91% 31k $628k (exactly $628,486) Doborog Games
BRUTALISTICK VR · EA older $9.99 1,793 94% 54k $537k (exactly $537,362) Kubunautilus
Ed-0: Zombie Uprising older $29.99 211 72% 6.3k $190k (exactly $189,837) LANCARSE
Frenzy VR · EA older $14.99 205 60% 6.2k $92k (exactly $92,188) Innoverse Ltd
Diatomic older $9.99 135 76% 4.1k $40k (exactly $40,460) Diatomic Studios
Astro Duel 2 older $19.99 59 100% 1.8k $35k (exactly $35,382) Rusty Moyher
天下統一SSB older $69.99 9 44% 270 $19k (exactly $18,897) Systemsoft beta, Inc.
Cubes and Knights older $7.99 78 93% 2.3k $19k (exactly $18,697) Sergey Bobrov
Stop Sign VR Tools · EA older $5.99 59 84% 1.8k $11k (exactly $10,602) Reality Inside Ltd.
Robin Hood: Sherwood Defenders $11.99 25 44% 750 $9.0k (exactly $8,992) MeanAstronauts
A Game About Breaking Pots $5.99 27 100% 810 $4.9k (exactly $4,852) Glenn Verheij
Last Stronghold $3.99 8 62% 240 $958 (exactly $958) skR1me
Bighead Duel $3.99 3 100% 90 $359 (exactly $359) Kim Hyunwoo
Groovy Labs $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Body Mind Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.