Do I ship it?

GamesDestructionDestruction + Puzzle Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Puzzle Platformer Destruction game?

Destruction + Puzzle Platformer

Only 17 developers shipped a Puzzle Platformer Destruction game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, ANTONBLAST, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 24 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $750, ×1.2 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $190; 1 in 20 cleared $2.3M, ×3765 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 24 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 85% on the market, 24 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Destruction + Puzzle Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 17
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $29k → $4.3k → $2.7k → $1.1k → $185 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Destruction + Puzzle Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 17
Bottom 30% $185 (exactly $185)
Median $748 (exactly $748)
Top 25% $2.7k (exactly $2,695)
Top 5% $2.4M (exactly $2,364,617)
Developers, 2 yr 17
Released games 71
Announced 24
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 85% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Destruction
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Puzzle Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Destruction, Puzzle Platformer; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Puzzle, Score Attack, Action
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Colorful, 3D, Cartoony
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 94% positive over 4,097 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $190, median $750, 1 in 4 over $2.6k, 1 in 20 over $2.3M.

3 in 10 developers made under $190. 9 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 24 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Destruction with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Space SimFair14 devs · median $3.7k · 22 announced
  2. + ModernFair26 devs · median $1.6k · 28 announced
  3. + God GameFair19 devs · median $899 · 20 announced
  4. + Hidden ObjectFair9 devs · median $719 · 14 announced
  5. + Hack and SlashPoor odds19 devs · median $43k · 57 announced
  6. + HistoricalPoor odds15 devs · median $26k · 22 announced
  7. + CapitalismPoor odds17 devs · median $15k · 46 announced
  8. + Online Co-OpPoor odds37 devs · median $13k · 102 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds50 devs · median $11k · 113 announced
  10. + Automobile SimPoor odds22 devs · median $9.0k · 44 announced
  11. + ManagementPoor odds36 devs · median $6.1k · 129 announced
  12. + AutomationPoor odds22 devs · median $6.0k · 46 announced

All 139 pairs on the Destruction page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
ANTONBLAST $19.99 3,943 95% 118k $2.4M (exactly $2,364,617) Summitsphere
Copy Kitty older $14.99 345 97% 10k $155k (exactly $155,146) Nuclear Strawberry
Zup! 7 older $1.99 2,246 95% 67k $134k (exactly $134,086) Quiet River
Lemma older $14.99 126 80% 3.8k $57k (exactly $56,662) Helvetica Scenario
No Fair Play older $2.99 452 90% 14k $41k (exactly $40,544) Self MADev
The Strange City $14.99 65 47% 2.0k $29k (exactly $29,230) Newmatic Co., Ltd.
Super Adventure Hand older $12.99 75 96% 2.3k $29k (exactly $29,228) Devm Games
World of Contraptions older $9.99 89 86% 2.7k $27k (exactly $26,673) JCP Games Studio
Caromble! $12.99 34 73% 1.0k $13k (exactly $13,250) Crimson Owl Studios
Oik 4 older $0.99 336 83% 10k $10k (exactly $9,979) Crew Lab
Spire Blast $6.99 17 100% 510 $3.6k (exactly $3,565) Orbital Knight
1989 After the War $4.99 18 94% 540 $2.7k (exactly $2,695) SEEP
MotoTrials $9.99 5 100% 150 $1.5k (exactly $1,498) Proud Arts
Entering Host $9.99 4 75% 120 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) NickSchemes
MOONY:Black_Lotus $17.99 2 50% 60 $1.1k (exactly $1,079) Icegrim Softworks
Bunny Hop Hop $4.99 5 100% 150 $748 (exactly $748) Moko Studio
Apes vs. Everyone $4.99 4 100% 120 $599 (exactly $599) FuseDev

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.