Do I ship it?

Games › Destruction › Destruction + Procedural Generation

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Procedural Generation Destruction game?

Destruction + Procedural Generation

Of 46 developers who shipped a Procedural Generation Destruction game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 128 more are announced, ×3.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.5k, ×4.0 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $1.3M, ×2106 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 128 games are announced against 33 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 85% on the market, 128 announced, ×3.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Destruction + Procedural Generation
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 46
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $5.4k → $1.5k → $89 → $7.8k → $4.6k → $716 (still earning) → $299 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Destruction + Procedural Generation: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 46
Bottom 30% $240 (exactly $240)
Median $2.5k (exactly $2,516)
Top 25% $12k (exactly $11,692)
Top 5% $1.3M (exactly $1,322,568)
Developers, 2 yr 46
Released games 122
Announced 128
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 135% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Destruction
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Procedural Generation
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Destruction, Procedural Generation; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Co-op, Exploration
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Colorful, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 14,696 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $2.5k, 1 in 4 over $11k, 1 in 20 over $1.3M.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 6 in 10 of the 16 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 128 games are announced against 33 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Destruction with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Space SimFair14 devs · median $3.7k · 22 announced
  2. + ModernFair26 devs · median $1.6k · 28 announced
  3. + God GameFair19 devs · median $899 · 20 announced
  4. + Hidden ObjectFair9 devs · median $719 · 14 announced
  5. + Hack and SlashPoor odds19 devs · median $43k · 57 announced
  6. + HistoricalPoor odds15 devs · median $26k · 22 announced
  7. + CapitalismPoor odds17 devs · median $15k · 46 announced
  8. + Online Co-OpPoor odds37 devs · median $13k · 102 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds50 devs · median $11k · 113 announced
  10. + Automobile SimPoor odds22 devs · median $9.0k · 44 announced
  11. + ManagementPoor odds36 devs · median $6.1k · 129 announced
  12. + AutomationPoor odds22 devs · median $6.0k · 46 announced

All 139 pairs on the Destruction page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

WorldBox - God Simulator 2021 · EA · $31M Hardspace: Shipbreaker 2022 · $20M Everwind 2026 · EA · $2.6M VOID/BREAKER 2025 · EA · $2.3M Funnel Runners 2026 · EA · $1.3M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
WorldBox - God Simulator · EA older $19.99 51,071 95% 1.5M $31M (exactly $30,627,279) Maxim Karpenko
Hardspace: Shipbreaker older $34.99 19,431 89% 583k $20M (exactly $20,396,721) Blackbird Interactive
Everwind · EA $24.99 3,454 81% 104k $2.6M (exactly $2,589,464) Enjoy Studio S.A.
VOID/BREAKER · EA $29.99 2,506 91% 75k $2.3M (exactly $2,254,648) Stubby Games
Funnel Runners · EA $14.99 2,941 83% 88k $1.3M (exactly $1,322,568) Supernova Studios LLC
To The Core older $7.99 5,087 92% 153k $1.2M (exactly $1,219,354) SomethingExtra
Lay of the Land $19.99 1,190 79% 36k $714k (exactly $713,643) Southern Cross Interactive
Keep Digging $6.99 2,927 79% 88k $614k (exactly $613,792) Wild Dog
Doomsday Hunters older $15.99 703 89% 21k $337k (exactly $337,229) Moregames
Fictorum older $9.99 1,034 78% 31k $310k (exactly $309,890) Scraping Bottom Games
Trainatic $5.99 1,089 89% 33k $196k (exactly $195,693) Ryan Forrester
TOP DOG $9.99 263 88% 7.9k $79k (exactly $78,821) MorfeoDev
Voxile · EA $17.99 78 69% 2.3k $42k (exactly $42,097) VoxRay Games, Inc.
Planet Killer $12.99 94 79% 2.8k $37k (exactly $36,632) Talisman One Studio
Mayhemers · EA $6.99 154 84% 4.6k $32k (exactly $32,294) Anigtas

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.