Do I ship it?

GamesDestructionDestruction + Precision Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Precision Platformer Destruction game?

Destruction + Precision Platformer

Only 14 developers shipped a Precision Platformer Destruction game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Vindefiant, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 22 more are announced, ×3.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $450, ×0.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $90; 1 in 20 cleared $13k, ×22 the market median. Revenue is down 40% on the market; 22 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 40% on the market, 22 announced, ×3.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Destruction + Precision Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $0 → $3.6k → $298 → $2.4k → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Destruction + Precision Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $449 (exactly $449)
Top 25% $2.4k (exactly $2,395)
Top 5% $14k (exactly $13,941)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 43
Announced 22
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 40% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 21%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Destruction
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Precision Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Destruction, Precision Platformer; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, 2D Platformer, Physics
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Colorful, Fast-Paced
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 117 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $450, 1 in 4 over $2.3k, 1 in 20 over $13k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. All of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 22 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Destruction with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Space SimFair14 devs · median $3.7k · 22 announced
  2. + ModernFair26 devs · median $1.6k · 28 announced
  3. + God GameFair19 devs · median $899 · 20 announced
  4. + Hidden ObjectFair9 devs · median $719 · 14 announced
  5. + Hack and SlashPoor odds19 devs · median $43k · 57 announced
  6. + HistoricalPoor odds15 devs · median $26k · 22 announced
  7. + CapitalismPoor odds17 devs · median $15k · 46 announced
  8. + Online Co-OpPoor odds37 devs · median $13k · 102 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds50 devs · median $11k · 113 announced
  10. + Automobile SimPoor odds22 devs · median $9.0k · 44 announced
  11. + ManagementPoor odds36 devs · median $6.1k · 129 announced
  12. + AutomationPoor odds22 devs · median $6.0k · 46 announced

All 139 pairs on the Destruction page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Vindefiant $14.99 31 80% 930 $14k (exactly $13,941) Blakey Games
Galactic Thunderdome $9.99 35 100% 1.1k $10k (exactly $10,490) Pansimula
Sqroma older $5.99 41 100% 1.2k $7.4k (exactly $7,368) Woum
! That Bastard Is Trying To Steal Our Gold ! older $2.99 68 55% 2.0k $6.1k (exactly $6,100) WTFOMGames
Knife To Meet You older $14.99 13 100% 390 $5.8k (exactly $5,846) Mate Magyar
Fool's End older $4.99 29 93% 870 $4.3k (exactly $4,341) Alan Higgs
Slab older $1.99 67 74% 2.0k $4.0k (exactly $4,000) Smash The Code
Flippin Kaktus older $11.99 10 50% 300 $3.6k (exactly $3,597) rage++
Smells Like a Mushroom older $16.99 7 57% 210 $3.6k (exactly $3,568) Red Limb Studio
Action Ball older $6.99 13 92% 390 $2.7k (exactly $2,726) Rionix
Unfair Rampage: Knightfall $5.99 14 85% 420 $2.5k (exactly $2,516) Imphenzia
Arrows and Antiquity $4.99 16 87% 480 $2.4k (exactly $2,395) True Neutral Studios
MotoTrials $9.99 5 100% 150 $1.5k (exactly $1,498) Proud Arts
Super Rolling Heroes Deluxe $10.99 4 50% 120 $1.3k (exactly $1,319) Solid Neon Games
Wrecking Wave $4.99 3 100% 90 $449 (exactly $449) BrunuuDev
Landslip $4.99 3 100% 90 $449 (exactly $449) Pixel Doctrine
Escape From Lava $1.99 5 60% 150 $298 (exactly $298) Muhammet BAYRAKCI
The Duck Amikaze Strikes Back $2.99 1 100% 30 $90 (exactly $90) Alexandre Mailliu

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.