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Should I ship a Post-apocalyptic Destruction game?
Destruction + Post-apocalyptic
Of 32 developers who shipped a Post-apocalyptic Destruction game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 87 more are announced, ×4.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $900, ×1.4 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $48k, ×77 the market median. Revenue is up 1065% on the market; 87 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $179 (exactly $179) |
|---|---|
| Median | $899 (exactly $899) |
| Top 25% | $2.7k (exactly $2,695) |
| Top 5% | $49k (exactly $48,568) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 32 |
| Released games | 114 |
| Announced | 87 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1065% on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Destruction
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Post-apocalyptic
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Destruction; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, RTS, Strategy
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $17.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Top-Down, Atmospheric
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 82% positive over 587 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $180. All of the 17 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 87 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Destruction with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Space SimFair
- + ModernFair
- + God GameFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + Hack and SlashPoor odds
- + HistoricalPoor odds
- + CapitalismPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + Automobile SimPoor odds
- + ManagementPoor odds
- + AutomationPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Shin Megami Tensei V: Vengeance | older | $59.99 | 7,858 91% | 236k | $14M (exactly $14,142,043) | ATLUS |
| | Angel at Dusk | older | $14.99 | 1,676 98% | 50k | $754k (exactly $753,697) | Akiragoya |
| | Splatter - Zombiecalypse Now | older | $6.99 | 2,098 89% | 63k | $440k (exactly $439,951) | Dreamworlds |
| | Doomsday Hunters | older | $15.99 | 703 89% | 21k | $337k (exactly $337,229) | Moregames |
| | Vengeful Guardian: Moonrider | older | $16.99 | 489 85% | 15k | $249k (exactly $249,243) | JoyMasher |
| | Post Apocalyptic Mayhem | older | $9.99 | 773 87% | 23k | $232k (exactly $231,668) | Steel Monkeys |
| | Tasty Planet Forever | older | $12.99 | 352 87% | 11k | $137k (exactly $137,174) | Dingo Games |
| | Extinction Day | $19.99 | 206 74% | 6.2k | $124k (exactly $123,538) | DryGin Studios | |
| | Battlecruisers | older | $9.99 | 386 83% | 12k | $116k (exactly $115,684) | Mecha Weka |
| | Apocalyptic cat | older | $29.99 | 101 84% | 3.0k | $91k (exactly $90,870) | Galactic Geckon |
| | Masks of the Void: Origins | $14.99 | 108 97% | 3.2k | $49k (exactly $48,568) | ROLLDBOX GAMES | |
| | Red Chaos - The Strict Order | · EA | $17.99 | 79 81% | 2.4k | $43k (exactly $42,636) | Squarecut Games |
| | Tasty Planet: Final Bite | $12.99 | 100 90% | 3.0k | $39k (exactly $38,970) | Dingo Games | |
| | Maelstrom: The Battle for Earth Begins Enhanced | $6.99 | 33 75% | 990 | $6.9k (exactly $6,920) | KDV Games | |
| | Beyond Solar | · EA | $9.99 | 17 88% | 510 | $5.1k (exactly $5,095) | COREGAME Studios |
| | Breakfall: Nuclear Winter | · EA | $17.99 | 7 28% | 210 | $3.8k (exactly $3,778) | Dominik Geuer |
| | 1989 After the War | $4.99 | 18 94% | 540 | $2.7k (exactly $2,695) | SEEP | |
| | Endzone Girls | $7.99 | 11 90% | 330 | $2.6k (exactly $2,637) | Aozora | |
| | Apocalypse Factory | · EA | $9.99 | 8 50% | 240 | $2.4k (exactly $2,398) | Mind Leak |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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