Do I ship it?

GamesDestructionDestruction + Multiple Endings

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Multiple Endings Destruction game?

Destruction + Multiple Endings

Only 12 developers shipped a Multiple Endings Destruction game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Sera's Adventure -Cave of Destruction-, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 26 more are announced, ×4.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.9k, ×3.0 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $90; 1 in 20 cleared $43k, ×69 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 26 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 26 announced, ×4.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Destruction + Multiple Endings
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $118k → $754k → $3.0k → $2.1k → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Destruction + Multiple Endings: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $1.9k (exactly $1,915)
Top 25% $2.9k (exactly $2,866)
Top 5% $43k (exactly $43,297)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 40
Announced 26
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Destruction
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Multiple Endings
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Destruction, Multiple Endings
Price point
$3.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 74% positive over 190 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $1.9k, 1 in 4 over $2.8k, 1 in 20 over $43k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. All of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 26 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Destruction with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Space SimFair14 devs · median $3.7k · 22 announced
  2. + ModernFair26 devs · median $1.6k · 28 announced
  3. + God GameFair19 devs · median $899 · 20 announced
  4. + Hidden ObjectFair9 devs · median $719 · 14 announced
  5. + Hack and SlashPoor odds19 devs · median $43k · 57 announced
  6. + HistoricalPoor odds15 devs · median $26k · 22 announced
  7. + CapitalismPoor odds17 devs · median $15k · 46 announced
  8. + Online Co-OpPoor odds37 devs · median $13k · 102 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds50 devs · median $11k · 113 announced
  10. + Automobile SimPoor odds22 devs · median $9.0k · 44 announced
  11. + ManagementPoor odds36 devs · median $6.1k · 129 announced
  12. + AutomationPoor odds22 devs · median $6.0k · 46 announced

All 139 pairs on the Destruction page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Contraband Police older $29.99 24,882 95% 746k $22M (exactly $22,386,335) Crazy Rocks
Shin Megami Tensei V: Vengeance older $59.99 7,858 91% 236k $14M (exactly $14,142,043) ATLUS
Angel at Dusk older $14.99 1,676 98% 50k $754k (exactly $753,697) Akiragoya
I Am Your President older $14.99 263 66% 7.9k $118k (exactly $118,271) President
Decimate Drive older $7.99 321 91% 9.6k $77k (exactly $76,944) Some Random Designing
Sera's Adventure -Cave of Destruction- $18.99 76 53% 2.3k $43k (exactly $43,297) 渡里laboratory
Jester / King older $15.99 85 94% 2.6k $41k (exactly $40,774) Rolling Crown
NAPOLEON: RULE OF IRON $19.99 22 90% 660 $13k (exactly $13,193) Eisengeist Studio
Diving Disorder-下潜症 older $2.99 125 92% 3.8k $11k (exactly $11,212) Lingtan Studio
Arabel older $7.99 40 92% 1.2k $9.6k (exactly $9,588) Amaury Hyde
Pigeon Hater $1.99 48 95% 1.4k $2.9k (exactly $2,866) Gif2MemeGame
SUBMERSIBLE $8.99 10 80% 300 $2.7k (exactly $2,697) CJB Games
The Corruption $9.99 7 71% 210 $2.1k (exactly $2,098) Acellular
Deer Hero $3.99 16 93% 480 $1.9k (exactly $1,915) Nyoro
3D Raid River $0.99 6 66% 180 $178 (exactly $178) MLB-Miagui
701病房 $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) Shuo Xu
Neo-Exodus: Last Bastion $2.99 1 0% 30 $90 (exactly $90) GODev Games
EasterStory $0.99 3 100% 90 $89 (exactly $89) Fire In Crowd

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.