Do I ship it?

GamesDestructionDestruction + Logic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Logic Destruction game?

Destruction + Logic

Of 20 developers who shipped a Logic Destruction game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 23 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $30 in the last 2 years and $240 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 14 developers shipped in the last year and 23 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 23 announced, ×1.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Destruction + Logic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 20
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.8k → $1.1k → $147 → $2.4k → $0 → $599 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Destruction + Logic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 20
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $30 (exactly $30)
Top 25% $2.4k (exactly $2,395)
Top 5% $9.3k (exactly $9,348)
Developers, 2 yr 20
Released games 77
Announced 23
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 135% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Destruction
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Destruction, Logic; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Physics, Simulation, Building
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $7.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Colorful, Family Friendly
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $7.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 107 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $30, 1 in 4 over $2.3k, 1 in 20 over $9.3k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 23 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Destruction with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Space SimFair14 devs · median $3.7k · 22 announced
  2. + ModernFair26 devs · median $1.6k · 28 announced
  3. + God GameFair19 devs · median $899 · 20 announced
  4. + Hidden ObjectFair9 devs · median $719 · 14 announced
  5. + Hack and SlashPoor odds19 devs · median $43k · 57 announced
  6. + HistoricalPoor odds15 devs · median $26k · 22 announced
  7. + CapitalismPoor odds17 devs · median $15k · 46 announced
  8. + Online Co-OpPoor odds37 devs · median $13k · 102 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds50 devs · median $11k · 113 announced
  10. + Automobile SimPoor odds22 devs · median $9.0k · 44 announced
  11. + ManagementPoor odds36 devs · median $6.1k · 129 announced
  12. + AutomationPoor odds22 devs · median $6.0k · 46 announced

All 139 pairs on the Destruction page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Electrician Simulator older $17.99 4,061 80% 122k $2.2M (exactly $2,191,722) Take IT Studio!
CAR TUNE: Project · EA older $18.99 585 84% 18k $333k (exactly $333,274) Vertices Software
Hasbro's BATTLESHIP older $12.49 828 82% 25k $310k (exactly $310,252) Marmalade Game Studio Ltd
ACTION SANDBOX older $9.99 787 73% 24k $236k (exactly $235,864) Vona Soft
ABRISS - build to destroy older $14.99 449 82% 13k $202k (exactly $201,915) Randwerk
Sand:box older $1.99 1,659 93% 50k $99k (exactly $99,042) smellymoo
World of Contraptions older $9.99 89 86% 2.7k $27k (exactly $26,673) JCP Games Studio
Ooglians · EA older $1.99 234 63% 7.0k $14k (exactly $13,970) Simon Bäckström
Building destruction older $19.99 22 54% 660 $13k (exactly $13,193) Enoops
Screw Drivers $7.99 39 74% 1.2k $9.3k (exactly $9,348) Creactstudios
Spire Blast $6.99 17 100% 510 $3.6k (exactly $3,565) Orbital Knight
Falling Stars... and other celestial objects $12.99 7 100% 210 $2.7k (exactly $2,728) From The Moon
Propa. $7.99 11 54% 330 $2.6k (exactly $2,637) Contagio Games
Skyblocker $4.99 16 93% 480 $2.4k (exactly $2,395) Pitchfork Games
Destructive Contraptions $7.99 6 83% 180 $1.4k (exactly $1,438) Gamergetik
The Minesweeper $4.99 4 100% 120 $599 (exactly $599) Stephan Royer
Propple $2.99 5 100% 150 $449 (exactly $449) Chocolate Bar Games
Battlements $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Gray Day
Abrez $0.99 1 100% 30 $30 (exactly $30) Haruka Nitaka, S.Daas, Tony Tutty, Suss… (Haruka Nitaka, S.Daas, Tony Tutty, Sussanne Beaujeu, T.Beaujeu)

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.