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Should I ship a Local Multiplayer Destruction game?
Destruction + Local Multiplayer
Of 21 developers who shipped a Local Multiplayer Destruction game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 69 more are announced, ×5.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $840, ×1.3 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $38k, ×62 the market median. Revenue is down 35% on the market; 69 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $300 (exactly $300) |
|---|---|
| Median | $839 (exactly $839) |
| Top 25% | $10k (exactly $10,190) |
| Top 5% | $39k (exactly $38,970) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 21 |
| Released games | 109 |
| Announced | 69 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 35% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Destruction
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Local Multiplayer
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Destruction, Local Multiplayer; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Fighting, Local Co-Op
- Price point
- $7.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
- Art
- 6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Funny, 2D, Colorful
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 93% positive over 1,491 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $300. All of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 69 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Destruction with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Space SimFair
- + ModernFair
- + God GameFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + Hack and SlashPoor odds
- + HistoricalPoor odds
- + CapitalismPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + Automobile SimPoor odds
- + ManagementPoor odds
- + AutomationPoor odds
Comparable games
Goat Simulator 2014 · $16M 
FlatOut 2 2006 · $5.8M 
FlatOut: Ultimate Carnage Collector's Edition 2008 · $4.0M 
Destroy All Humans! 2 - Reprobed 2022 · $2.7M 
Worms Ultimate Mayhem 2011 · $1.9M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Goat Simulator | older | $9.99 | 54,740 90% | 1.6M | $16M (exactly $16,405,578) | Coffee Stain Studios |
| | FlatOut 2 | older | $9.99 | 19,466 95% | 584k | $5.8M (exactly $5,833,960) | Bugbear Entertainment, ZOOM Platform Me… (Bugbear Entertainment, ZOOM Platform Media, Jordan Freeman Group) |
| | FlatOut: Ultimate Carnage Collector's Edition | older | $19.99 | 6,747 89% | 202k | $4.0M (exactly $4,046,176) | Bugbear Entertainment, ZOOM Platform Me… (Bugbear Entertainment, ZOOM Platform Media, Jordan Freeman Group) |
| | Destroy All Humans! 2 - Reprobed | older | $39.99 | 2,271 79% | 68k | $2.7M (exactly $2,724,519) | Black Forest Games |
| | Worms Ultimate Mayhem | older | $14.99 | 4,303 89% | 129k | $1.9M (exactly $1,935,059) | Team17 Digital Ltd |
 | TRAIL OUT | older | $19.99 | 3,019 81% | 91k | $1.8M (exactly $1,810,494) | GOOD BOYS |
 | Rubber Bandits | older | $9.99 | 5,628 84% | 169k | $1.7M (exactly $1,686,712) | Flashbulb |
 | Rock of Ages 2: Bigger & Boulder™ | older | $14.99 | 2,792 90% | 84k | $1.3M (exactly $1,255,562) | ACE Team |
 | Spirit Island | older | $24.99 | 1,545 91% | 46k | $1.2M (exactly $1,158,286) | Handelabra Games Inc. |
 | Split/Second | older | $19.99 | 1,683 80% | 50k | $1.0M (exactly $1,009,295) | Black Rock Studio |
 | A Gentlemen's Dispute | $7.99 | 1,199 94% | 36k | $287k (exactly $287,400) | Blast Furnace Games | |
 | Tasty Planet: Final Bite | $12.99 | 100 90% | 3.0k | $39k (exactly $38,970) | Dingo Games | |
 | Dino Party | $11.99 | 56 98% | 1.7k | $20k (exactly $20,143) | Studio Nachtwerk | |
 | We Could Be Heroes | $14.99 | 42 85% | 1.3k | $19k (exactly $18,887) | CebCode Games | |
 | Galactic Thunderdome | $9.99 | 35 100% | 1.1k | $10k (exactly $10,490) | Pansimula | |
 | Chaos on Wheels | $9.99 | 34 67% | 1.0k | $10k (exactly $10,190) | Acodeon Development | |
 | Strikers 1945 | $9.99 | 16 93% | 480 | $4.8k (exactly $4,795) | Zerodiv | |
 | Death Metal Derby | $14.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $1.3k (exactly $1,349) | Turtle Duck Studio | |
 | Robots with Guns | $7.99 | 4 100% | 120 | $959 (exactly $959) | Flash of Stars | |
 | Anarkade | $14.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $899 (exactly $899) | Pixelatom |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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