Do I ship it?

GamesHero ShooterHero Shooter + Destruction

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Destruction Hero Shooter?

Hero Shooter + Destruction

Only 5 developers shipped a Destruction Hero Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, KILLDOZER, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 23 more are announced, ×7.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 9 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $360 against a market of $1.3k. 23 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 23 announced, ×7.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Hero Shooter + Destruction
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 5

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Hero Shooter + Destruction: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 5
Bottom 30% $178 (exactly $178)
Median $359 (exactly $359)
Top 25% $21k (exactly $20,760)
Top 5% $34k (exactly $34,183)
Developers, 2 yr 5
Released games 32
Announced 23
Effort 9 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $2.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Hero Shooter
effort 9 / 10 · low · competitive netcode plus hero balance and content cadence
Destruction
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
9 / 10 · studio only
Systems
Hero Shooter, Destruction
Price point
$2.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 50% positive over 272,689 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $360, 1 in 4 over $20k, 1 in 20 over $34k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 23 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×7.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Hero Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SimulationLong shot31 devs · median $478 · 28 announced
  2. + Bullet HellLong shot59 devs · median $449 · 56 announced
  3. + Boomer ShooterLong shot30 devs · median $210 · 21 announced
  4. + MedievalLong shot10 devs · median $150 · 12 announced
  5. + Online Co-OpPoor odds20 devs · median $7.2k · 51 announced
  6. + SuperheroPoor odds6 devs · median $6.3k · 11 announced
  7. + Battle RoyalePoor odds9 devs · median $3.6k · 29 announced
  8. + Co-opPoor odds22 devs · median $3.6k · 53 announced
  9. + PvPPoor odds27 devs · median $2.3k · 127 announced
  10. + PlatformerPoor odds21 devs · median $2.2k · 33 announced
  11. + Character CustomizationPoor odds25 devs · median $2.1k · 68 announced
  12. + PhysicsPoor odds27 devs · median $1.6k · 34 announced

All 87 pairs on the Hero Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Battlefield™ 2042 older $59.99 260,308 49% 7.8M $468M (exactly $468,476,308) DICE
Friends vs Friends older $9.99 10,860 83% 326k $3.3M (exactly $3,254,742) Brainwash Gang
RIPOUT older $19.99 783 65% 23k $470k (exactly $469,565) Pet Project Games
Vengeful Guardian: Moonrider older $16.99 489 85% 15k $249k (exactly $249,243) JoyMasher
KILLDOZER · EA $19.99 57 78% 1.7k $34k (exactly $34,183) Rename For Value
Deadliest Pigeon $6.99 99 93% 3.0k $21k (exactly $20,760) Rusty Rex
Timewell: Trail of Celestes older $17.99 20 85% 600 $11k (exactly $10,794) OZBER CIN
Cactus Cowboy - Desert Warfare older $9.99 27 96% 810 $8.1k (exactly $8,092) Cactus VR Studios
ATTACK OF THE EVIL POOP older $7.99 30 86% 900 $7.2k (exactly $7,191) AN Games
They Came From the Sky 2 older $9.99 16 75% 480 $4.8k (exactly $4,795) FobTi interactive
WhamPunch 超能打 · EA $2.99 4 25% 120 $359 (exactly $359) AWE_some_ZT
3D Raid River $0.99 6 66% 180 $178 (exactly $178) MLB-Miagui
J. El Tanquista $0.99 1 100% 30 $30 (exactly $30) Jorge Damian Rodriguez

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.