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Should I ship a Gun Customization Destruction game?
Destruction + Gun Customization
Only 12 developers shipped a Gun Customization Destruction game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Hot Dogs, Horseshoes & Hand Grenades, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 47 more are announced, ×7.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $4.5k, ×7.1 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.2k; 1 in 20 cleared $13M, ×21748 the market median. Revenue is up 5910% on the market; 47 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $1.2k (exactly $1,169) |
|---|---|
| Median | $4.5k (exactly $4,485) |
| Top 25% | $1.6M (exactly $1,606,346) |
| Top 5% | $14M (exactly $13,657,568) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 12 |
| Released games | 46 |
| Announced | 47 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $6.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 5910% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Destruction
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Gun Customization
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Destruction, Gun Customization
- Price point
- $6.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 95% positive over 27,396 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.2k. 9 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 47 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×7.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Destruction with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Space SimFair
- + ModernFair
- + God GameFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + Hack and SlashPoor odds
- + HistoricalPoor odds
- + CapitalismPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + Automobile SimPoor odds
- + ManagementPoor odds
- + AutomationPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | BattleBit Remastered | · EA older | $14.99 | 127,680 82% | 3.8M | $57M (exactly $57,417,696) | SgtOkiDoki, Vilaskis, TheLiquidHorse |
| | Brick Rigs | older | $19.99 | 53,749 95% | 1.6M | $32M (exactly $32,233,275) | Fluppisoft GmbH |
| | Hot Dogs, Horseshoes & Hand Grenades | $19.99 | 22,774 97% | 683k | $14M (exactly $13,657,568) | RUST LTD. | |
| | Friends vs Friends | older | $9.99 | 10,860 83% | 326k | $3.3M (exactly $3,254,742) | Brainwash Gang |
| | VOID/BREAKER | · EA | $29.99 | 2,506 91% | 75k | $2.3M (exactly $2,254,648) | Stubby Games |
| | Forefront | $27.99 | 1,913 84% | 57k | $1.6M (exactly $1,606,346) | Triangle Factory | |
| | Ghostbusters: The Video Game Remastered | older | $24.99 | 2,069 90% | 62k | $1.6M (exactly $1,551,129) | Saber Interactive |
| | Vox Machinae | older | $29.99 | 1,177 87% | 35k | $1.1M (exactly $1,058,947) | Space Bullet Dynamics Corporation |
| | BREAK ARTS II | older | $14.99 | 662 74% | 20k | $298k (exactly $297,701) | MercuryStudio |
| | Aggressor | · EA older | $19.99 | 172 61% | 5.2k | $103k (exactly $103,148) | Flashpoint Studios |
| | Territory Control 2 | · EA | $19.99 | 92 77% | 2.8k | $55k (exactly $55,172) | TFlippy, Knorrepot |
| | Star Mining Co. | $8.99 | 29 82% | 870 | $7.8k (exactly $7,821) | Barney Whiteman | |
| | Critical Fishing | $2.99 | 50 96% | 1.5k | $4.5k (exactly $4,485) | lazygun | |
| | Periodicity - Hats and scars | $4.99 | 11 90% | 330 | $1.6k (exactly $1,647) | PunPun.Studio | |
| | Turbotz Testing 20XX | $4.99 | 10 100% | 300 | $1.5k (exactly $1,497) | Zed-ex | |
| | Robot Fury: Mech Combat Simulator | · EA | $12.99 | 3 0% | 90 | $1.2k (exactly $1,169) | Hard Shark Games |
| | Last Stronghold | $3.99 | 8 62% | 240 | $958 (exactly $958) | skR1me |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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