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Should I ship a Fantasy Destruction game?
Destruction + Fantasy
Of 34 developers who shipped a Fantasy Destruction game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 110 more are announced, ×5.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $360, ×0.6 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $90. 110 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.2 per shipper, while revenue is down 10% on the market.
| Bottom 30% | $90 (exactly $90) |
|---|---|
| Median | $359 (exactly $359) |
| Top 25% | $2.7k (exactly $2,695) |
| Top 5% | $714k (exactly $713,643) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 34 |
| Released games | 140 |
| Announced | 110 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 10% on the market, supply 60% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Destruction
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Fantasy
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Destruction; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Combat, Adventure
- Price point
- $5.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.
The top 10 games average 84% positive over 3,005 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $90. 9 in 10 of the 20 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 110 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.2 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Destruction with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Space SimFair
- + ModernFair
- + God GameFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + Hack and SlashPoor odds
- + HistoricalPoor odds
- + CapitalismPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + Automobile SimPoor odds
- + ManagementPoor odds
- + AutomationPoor odds
Comparable games
Total War: THREE KINGDOMS 2019 · $76M 
WorldBox - God Simulator 2021 · EA · $31M 
Shadow Warrior 3: Definitive Edition 2022 · $5.8M 
Warhammer Age of Sigmar: Realms of Ruin 2023 · $3.4M 
DEEEER Simulator: Your Average Everyday Deer Game 2021 · $2.0M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Total War: THREE KINGDOMS | older | $39.99 | 63,110 82% | 1.9M | $76M (exactly $75,713,067) | CREATIVE ASSEMBLY, Feral Interactive (M… (CREATIVE ASSEMBLY, Feral Interactive (Mac), Feral Interactive (Linux)) |
| | WorldBox - God Simulator | · EA older | $19.99 | 51,071 95% | 1.5M | $31M (exactly $30,627,279) | Maxim Karpenko |
| | Shadow Warrior 3: Definitive Edition | older | $39.99 | 4,820 69% | 145k | $5.8M (exactly $5,782,554) | Flying Wild Hog |
| | Warhammer Age of Sigmar: Realms of Ruin | older | $59.99 | 1,867 55% | 56k | $3.4M (exactly $3,360,040) | Frontier Developments |
| | DEEEER Simulator: Your Average Everyday Deer Game | older | $14.99 | 4,443 92% | 133k | $2.0M (exactly $1,998,017) | Gibier Games |
 | Spirit Island | older | $24.99 | 1,545 91% | 46k | $1.2M (exactly $1,158,286) | Handelabra Games Inc. |
 | 9 Days | older | $14.99 | 2,198 72% | 66k | $988k (exactly $988,441) | MVR |
 | DAVIGO: VR vs. PC | · EA older | $24.99 | 1,200 84% | 36k | $900k (exactly $899,640) | Davigo Studio |
 | The Scouring | · EA | $24.99 | 1,136 88% | 34k | $852k (exactly $851,659) | Orc Group |
 | Conan Unconquered | older | $19.99 | 1,203 70% | 36k | $721k (exactly $721,439) | Petroglyph |
 | Lay of the Land | $19.99 | 1,190 79% | 36k | $714k (exactly $713,643) | Southern Cross Interactive | |
 | DYSPLACED | · EA | $24.99 | 296 87% | 8.9k | $222k (exactly $221,911) | 10tons Ltd |
 | Wartorn | $34.99 | 130 73% | 3.9k | $136k (exactly $136,461) | Stray Kite Studios | |
 | Chest Buster | $4.99 | 159 92% | 4.8k | $24k (exactly $23,802) | D-Pad | |
 | ARKOS 2 | $12.99 | 34 91% | 1.0k | $13k (exactly $13,250) | RetroSouls | |
 | War of Wheels | · EA | $14.99 | 13 100% | 390 | $5.8k (exactly $5,846) | Dreambits Studio |
 | Spire Blast | $6.99 | 17 100% | 510 | $3.6k (exactly $3,565) | Orbital Knight | |
 | Edge of Destruction | $4.99 | 18 77% | 540 | $2.7k (exactly $2,695) | Surin | |
 | Castle Crumble | $6.99 | 12 91% | 360 | $2.5k (exactly $2,516) | Orbital Knight |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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